Sporting News staff reports
Blue Jays manager Cito Gaston has named Kevin Gregg his new closer, in place of Jason Frasor.
Frasor is 3-for-5 in save opportunities this season, while is Gregg 3-for-3, including a 1-2-3 inning Tuesday night against the White Sox.
"Just had a talk with them, just going to reverse the roles a little bit until Frasor can get back to where we think he should be," said Gaston before Wednesday’s game against the Chicago White Sox. "You can blow a save, you just don’t want to lose a game. That’s a short rope."
Frasor inherits Gregg’s former eighth-inning setup role.
Sporting News staff reports
Blue Jays manager Cito Gaston has named Kevin Gregg his new closer, in place of Jason Frasor.
Frasor is 3-for-5 in save opportunities this season, while is Gregg 3-for-3, including a 1-2-3 inning Tuesday night against the White Sox.
"Just had a talk with them, just going to reverse the roles a little bit until Frasor can get back to where we think he should be," said Gaston before Wednesday’s game against the Chicago White Sox. "You can blow a save, you just don’t want to lose a game. That’s a short rope."
Frasor inherits Gregg’s former eighth-inning setup role.
The Miami Dolphins clearly have upgraded at wide receiver with Wednesday’s acquisition of Brandon Marshall. They had hoped Ted Ginn Jr. would emerge as a true No. 1, but you can count his big catches on one hand. You’d need both hands and feet to count his big drops. Ginn just doesn’t have the look of a premier player. Marshall, on the other hand, has proven he can be a dominant go-to player.
To evaluate Marshall’s value to the Dolphins, AccuScore "re-simulated" the entire 2009 NFL season. The Dolphins were 7-9 in 2009; in our re-simulation, they improved to 8 wins per 10,000 season simulations, and they made the playoffs in 30.3 percent of the simulations. They won the AFC East 16 percent of the time.
With Marshall, the numbers get even better; Miami averaged 8.9 wins per 10,000 simulations and had a 40 percent chance of making the playoffs (21 percent chance of a division crown). This improvement is sizable, especially when it’s a wide receiver being added.
DOLPHINS REPLAY 2009
| |
WIN |
LOSS |
PCT |
DIV |
PLAY |
| Before trade |
8.0 |
8.0 |
0.5 |
16.0 |
30.3 |
| With Marshall |
8.9 |
7.1 |
0.556 |
21.0 |
40.0 |
| IMPACT |
0.9 |
-0.9 |
0.056 |
5.0 |
9.7 |
Like all teams, the actual 2010 Dolphins forecast will depend significantly on the upcoming draft as well as future trades and free-agent signings. At least Miami knows it won’t need to take a wideout because, in addition to Marshall, it has quality secondary options in Davone Bess, Greg Camarillo and Ginn).
Please visit AccuScore.com to make sure you are up to date with the latest game forecasts, which are updated throughout the week based on injury and weather updates.
The Miami Dolphins clearly have upgraded at wide receiver with Wednesday’s acquisition of Brandon Marshall. They had hoped Ted Ginn Jr. would emerge as a true No. 1, but you can count his big catches on one hand. You’d need both hands and feet to count his big drops. Ginn just doesn’t have the look of a premier player. Marshall, on the other hand, has proven he can be a dominant go-to player.
To evaluate Marshall’s value to the Dolphins, AccuScore "re-simulated" the entire 2009 NFL season. The Dolphins were 7-9 in 2009; in our re-simulation, they improved to 8 wins per 10,000 season simulations, and they made the playoffs in 30.3 percent of the simulations. They won the AFC East 16 percent of the time.
With Marshall, the numbers get even better; Miami averaged 8.9 wins per 10,000 simulations and had a 40 percent chance of making the playoffs (21 percent chance of a division crown). This improvement is sizable, especially when it’s a wide receiver being added.
DOLPHINS REPLAY 2009
| |
WIN |
LOSS |
PCT |
DIV |
PLAY |
| Before trade |
8.0 |
8.0 |
0.5 |
16.0 |
30.3 |
| With Marshall |
8.9 |
7.1 |
0.556 |
21.0 |
40.0 |
| IMPACT |
0.9 |
-0.9 |
0.056 |
5.0 |
9.7 |
Like all teams, the actual 2010 Dolphins forecast will depend significantly on the upcoming draft as well as future trades and free-agent signings. At least Miami knows it won’t need to take a wideout because, in addition to Marshall, it has quality secondary options in Davone Bess, Greg Camarillo and Ginn).
Please visit AccuScore.com to make sure you are up to date with the latest game forecasts, which are updated throughout the week based on injury and weather updates.
Sporting News’ Pro Football War Room has hundreds of player evaluations in preparation for the 2010 NFL draft. Here is a capsule look at prospect Sergio Kindle.
With a little more size, Kindle could play with his hand on the ground.
NFL position: OLB/DE
Height: 6-2 7/8
Weight: 250
40 time: 4.70
Current projection: First-round pick
NFL comparison: Brian Cushing, Texans
Against inside run: Is an instinctive defender who sniffs out inside runs and has a knack for being around the ball. Moves easily through traffic because of quickness, agility and balance. Shows the strength to take on and defeat tight end blocks and burst inside to make the tackle. Flashes the strength to take on offensive line run blocks at the point of attack, but struggles to consistently shed those blockers. Having played mostly defensive end, lacks experience from an upright position. Grade: 7.5
Against outside run: Is productive playing perimeter runs, and will be better playing from linebacker alignment. Shows good instincts and smarts to carry out containment responsibilities; can make the open-field tackle even if the play does come back to him. Is strong and productive taking on tight end run blocks, maintaining outside position, defeating the block and making tackle. On runs away, stays at home and then shows the acceleration and speed to chase down ballcarriers. Grade: 8.5
Blitz/coverage: Is an explosive pass rusher from defensive end alignment with the explosiveness off the snap to turn the corner and close quickly to the QB. Shows the athleticism and strength to be even more dangerous from upright alignment. Is quick and smooth dropping into pass coverage, can flip hips to change directions easily and has a burst to close on receivers to deliver hard hits. Reaches the flat quickly to blow up screen passes. Lacks experience in man-to-man coverage, but shows the athleticism and speed to produce with experience. Grade: 8.0
Instincts: Is a natural who consistently reads plays quickly and correctly to play faster than timed speed would suggest. Does not get fooled by misdirection or trick plays or play-action passes. Always carries out containment assignments/responsibilities. Consistently anticipates the snap count to be first defender moving. Grade: 8.0
Pursuit/tackling: Shows the instincts, athleticism, speed and closing ability to make big plays in pursuit. On runs away, maintains backside responsibilities and then attacks full speed. Bends knees and drives up into ball carriers to make good open-field tackles. Stays under control, and does not miss tackles. Grade: 8.5
Bottom line: Kindle is a tremendous athlete who makes game-changing plays. He fits best as an outside linebacker in a 3-4 scheme, but he also shows the natural explosiveness, speed and pass-rush skills to be a good defensive end in a 4-3 scheme if able to bulk up 15 to 20 pounds. He also could play outside linebacker in a 4-3 scheme, a la the Redskins’ Brian Orakpo. Kindle’s athleticism, competitiveness and violent hitting ability remind us a lot of the Texans’ Brian Cushing.
For more than 550 player scouting reports from Russ Lande and his team of former NFL scouts — plus updated mock draft, Super 99 rankings and more — go to warroom.sportingnews.com.
Sporting News’ Pro Football War Room has hundreds of player evaluations in preparation for the 2010 NFL draft. Here is a capsule look at prospect Sergio Kindle.
With a little more size, Kindle could play with his hand on the ground.
NFL position: OLB/DE
Height: 6-2 7/8
Weight: 250
40 time: 4.70
Current projection: First-round pick
NFL comparison: Brian Cushing, Texans
Against inside run: Is an instinctive defender who sniffs out inside runs and has a knack for being around the ball. Moves easily through traffic because of quickness, agility and balance. Shows the strength to take on and defeat tight end blocks and burst inside to make the tackle. Flashes the strength to take on offensive line run blocks at the point of attack, but struggles to consistently shed those blockers. Having played mostly defensive end, lacks experience from an upright position. Grade: 7.5
Against outside run: Is productive playing perimeter runs, and will be better playing from linebacker alignment. Shows good instincts and smarts to carry out containment responsibilities; can make the open-field tackle even if the play does come back to him. Is strong and productive taking on tight end run blocks, maintaining outside position, defeating the block and making tackle. On runs away, stays at home and then shows the acceleration and speed to chase down ballcarriers. Grade: 8.5
Blitz/coverage: Is an explosive pass rusher from defensive end alignment with the explosiveness off the snap to turn the corner and close quickly to the QB. Shows the athleticism and strength to be even more dangerous from upright alignment. Is quick and smooth dropping into pass coverage, can flip hips to change directions easily and has a burst to close on receivers to deliver hard hits. Reaches the flat quickly to blow up screen passes. Lacks experience in man-to-man coverage, but shows the athleticism and speed to produce with experience. Grade: 8.0
Instincts: Is a natural who consistently reads plays quickly and correctly to play faster than timed speed would suggest. Does not get fooled by misdirection or trick plays or play-action passes. Always carries out containment assignments/responsibilities. Consistently anticipates the snap count to be first defender moving. Grade: 8.0
Pursuit/tackling: Shows the instincts, athleticism, speed and closing ability to make big plays in pursuit. On runs away, maintains backside responsibilities and then attacks full speed. Bends knees and drives up into ball carriers to make good open-field tackles. Stays under control, and does not miss tackles. Grade: 8.5
Bottom line: Kindle is a tremendous athlete who makes game-changing plays. He fits best as an outside linebacker in a 3-4 scheme, but he also shows the natural explosiveness, speed and pass-rush skills to be a good defensive end in a 4-3 scheme if able to bulk up 15 to 20 pounds. He also could play outside linebacker in a 4-3 scheme, a la the Redskins’ Brian Orakpo. Kindle’s athleticism, competitiveness and violent hitting ability remind us a lot of the Texans’ Brian Cushing.
For more than 550 player scouting reports from Russ Lande and his team of former NFL scouts — plus updated mock draft, Super 99 rankings and more — go to warroom.sportingnews.com.
Sporting News’ Pro Football War Room has hundreds of player evaluations in preparation for the 2010 NFL draft. Here is a capsule look at prospect Donald Butler.
Our experts see Donald Butler as a consistent playmaker.
NFL position: ILB
Height: 6-1 1/8
Weight: 245
40 time: 4.72
Current projection: First-round pick
NFL comparison: Jerod Mayo, Patriots
Athletic ability: Is very athletic, which has enabled him to be highly productive. Is very smooth and agile in pass drops; can flip hips to adjust easily and has good burst to the receiver. Flashes athleticism to reach in front of the receiver to break up the pass or cut in front of the receiver to try for an interception. Accelerates to full speed in a flash and has the speed to chase down backs in pursuit. Is naturally flexible, which enables him to bend knees and sink hips to take on lead blockers very strong at the point of attack and make strong, fundamentally sound tackles. Displays very good quickness, agility and burst. Grade: 8.0
Against the inside run: Reads and reacts quickly to the inside run. Fills the hole to take on the blocker strong at the line. Can shed and make tackles in the hole. Is so quick to fill at times that he gets into the backfield before the blocker can get to him; blows up the play in the hole. Lacks ideal height and can be engulfed by linemen at the second level. If a lineman locks up on him, he struggles to get free in time to make plays. Does a good job of reading run, can sift through traffic and has a good burst to the ballcarrier to finish tackles. Grade: 7.5
Against the outside run: Combines ability to read the play quickly, very good speed and explosive closing burst to consistently chase down ballcarriers in backside pursuit. Does a good job of using his hands to keep blockers from getting a hold of him on the move. Has the speed and burst to make tackles on outside runs before the ballcarrier can turn the corner. Does not use his hands well against cut blocks and can be taken to the ground too easily. Grade: 8.0
Blitz/coverage: Combines athleticism and intelligence to be productive in coverage. Is quick, smooth and fluid on pass drops. Reads the QB well, closes very quickly and can get in front of receivers to break up passes. Can flip hips to change directions easily in coverage. Does a good job of covering backs and tight ends in man coverage. Has the athleticism to stay on his man’s hip. Did not do a lot of blitzing in college but shows the ability to beat backs with quick pass-rush moves. Grade: 8.0
Run-pass recognition/instincts: Consistently reads and reacts quickly to plays. Because of great instincts, is able to play significantly faster than his 40 time. Does not get fooled by play-action fakes or misdirection plays. Maintains good position and carries out his responsibility. Grade: 8.0
Pursuit/tackling: Gets started toward the ball quickly and has top-notch acceleration, speed and burst to consistently chase down ballcarriers in backside pursuit. Does a good job of moving through traffic, avoids blocks well and has the speed to track down plays from behind. Needs to improve his hand use to protect his legs from cut blocks. Can be a very good tackler when he keeps his knees bent and remains under control. Breaks down and tackles well even when he tries to make the strong, physical hit. Grade: 8.0
Bottom line: Butler is a tough, instinctive, highly productive defender who is consistently around the ball making plays. Though he lacks ideal height, he is strong at the point of attack in taking on lead blockers. Butler is very consistent and makes plays all over the field. He really shined at the Senior Bowl, where he was clearly the best linebacker. Butler probably won’t be drafted as highly as we have him rated, but in time he will become a very good starting linebacker.
For more than 550 player scouting reports from Russ Lande and his team of former NFL scouts — plus updated mock draft, Super 99 rankings and more — go to warroom.sportingnews.com.
Sporting News’ Pro Football War Room has hundreds of player evaluations in preparation for the 2010 NFL draft. Here is a capsule look at prospect Donald Butler.
Our experts see Donald Butler as a consistent playmaker.
NFL position: ILB
Height: 6-1 1/8
Weight: 245
40 time: 4.72
Current projection: First-round pick
NFL comparison: Jerod Mayo, Patriots
Athletic ability: Is very athletic, which has enabled him to be highly productive. Is very smooth and agile in pass drops; can flip hips to adjust easily and has good burst to the receiver. Flashes athleticism to reach in front of the receiver to break up the pass or cut in front of the receiver to try for an interception. Accelerates to full speed in a flash and has the speed to chase down backs in pursuit. Is naturally flexible, which enables him to bend knees and sink hips to take on lead blockers very strong at the point of attack and make strong, fundamentally sound tackles. Displays very good quickness, agility and burst. Grade: 8.0
Against the inside run: Reads and reacts quickly to the inside run. Fills the hole to take on the blocker strong at the line. Can shed and make tackles in the hole. Is so quick to fill at times that he gets into the backfield before the blocker can get to him; blows up the play in the hole. Lacks ideal height and can be engulfed by linemen at the second level. If a lineman locks up on him, he struggles to get free in time to make plays. Does a good job of reading run, can sift through traffic and has a good burst to the ballcarrier to finish tackles. Grade: 7.5
Against the outside run: Combines ability to read the play quickly, very good speed and explosive closing burst to consistently chase down ballcarriers in backside pursuit. Does a good job of using his hands to keep blockers from getting a hold of him on the move. Has the speed and burst to make tackles on outside runs before the ballcarrier can turn the corner. Does not use his hands well against cut blocks and can be taken to the ground too easily. Grade: 8.0
Blitz/coverage: Combines athleticism and intelligence to be productive in coverage. Is quick, smooth and fluid on pass drops. Reads the QB well, closes very quickly and can get in front of receivers to break up passes. Can flip hips to change directions easily in coverage. Does a good job of covering backs and tight ends in man coverage. Has the athleticism to stay on his man’s hip. Did not do a lot of blitzing in college but shows the ability to beat backs with quick pass-rush moves. Grade: 8.0
Run-pass recognition/instincts: Consistently reads and reacts quickly to plays. Because of great instincts, is able to play significantly faster than his 40 time. Does not get fooled by play-action fakes or misdirection plays. Maintains good position and carries out his responsibility. Grade: 8.0
Pursuit/tackling: Gets started toward the ball quickly and has top-notch acceleration, speed and burst to consistently chase down ballcarriers in backside pursuit. Does a good job of moving through traffic, avoids blocks well and has the speed to track down plays from behind. Needs to improve his hand use to protect his legs from cut blocks. Can be a very good tackler when he keeps his knees bent and remains under control. Breaks down and tackles well even when he tries to make the strong, physical hit. Grade: 8.0
Bottom line: Butler is a tough, instinctive, highly productive defender who is consistently around the ball making plays. Though he lacks ideal height, he is strong at the point of attack in taking on lead blockers. Butler is very consistent and makes plays all over the field. He really shined at the Senior Bowl, where he was clearly the best linebacker. Butler probably won’t be drafted as highly as we have him rated, but in time he will become a very good starting linebacker.
For more than 550 player scouting reports from Russ Lande and his team of former NFL scouts — plus updated mock draft, Super 99 rankings and more — go to warroom.sportingnews.com.
Yes, it’s early. Until hitters get 100 at-bats, scouts don’t start to take stock in the numbers. But the media doesn’t wait. So, with the caveat that "yes, we know there are 150-plus games to go," let’s examine the staying power of early-season trends.
Three that will last
Minnesota’s strong start
Ozzie Guillen once nicknamed the Twins’ offense "piranhas" for its ability to eat away at leads one run at a time. But these Twins have more than speed. They have a lineup stocked with hitters capable of 25-plus homers — Justin Morneau, Joe Mauer, Michael Cuddyer, Jason Kubel/Jim Thome and J.J. Hardy. Who knows, this also could be the year that 24-year-old Delmon Young finds his power. Even without him, the Twins’ offense is in fine shape. "We have some guys who can put the ball in the seats," manager Ron Gardenhire says.
Jon Rauch has been perfect in save opportunities so far.
The bullpen, so far, has overcome the loss of All-Star closer Joe Nathan. Jon Rauch has converted all five of his save chances, but the key has been Matt Guerrier. The 31-year-old righthander might have been named the closer if Gardenhire didn’t value his versatility so much. "He can do so much — get out lefties, pitch multiple innings, pitch in the ninth — that I like him where he is," Gardenhire says.
Despite their fancy new park, don’t think the Twins will change their low-key ways. When Gardenhire named Rauch his closer at the end of spring training, there was no fanfare. On the team’s flight out of Florida, he walked up to Rauch, tapped him on the shoulder and said, "You’re closing."
Seattle’s power woes
Milton Bradley’s big three-run homer Tuesday night could be just what he needs to get on track. More than most, Bradley needs to feel good about himself to play well. The Mariners need him right. They took the plunge on him for his offense more than his defense. But after he had one hit in his first five games, he was dropped in the order. As bad as Bradley has been, however, his two homers represent half of Seattle’s total after its 3-6 start.
Ken Griffey Jr. and Mike Sweeney, both in what could be their final seasons, have combined for one extra-base hit. New first baseman Casey Kotchman and shortstop Jack Wilson are playing up to their reputations as defense-first players.
The Mariners’ defense has been as good as advertised for the most part, and the rotation will get a lift when Cliff Lee returns in May. But the offense might have to rely on Ichiro Suzuki and Figgins even more than expected. Bradley’s production — or lack of — could be the key.
The mess that is the Mets
At least the Mets had a positive opening day. They since have settled into last place and are playing like they plan to stay there. Manager Jerry Manuel called his lineup "unprepared" after Livan Hernandez shut them out for seven innings Sunday.
The rotation remains the biggest issue, and personnel changes might be the only way to change that. John Maine typifies the mess. He imploded in Denver on Tuesday night while throwing a fastball that rarely touched 90 mph. Though that was a tick above his velocity in his first start, his struggles are such that Manuel says the righthander’s spot in the rotation no longer is a given. Maine is scheduled to start Sunday night in St. Louis. Another outing like Tuesday night’s and that could be his last for a while.
Three that won’t
The Blue Jays’ lead in the AL East
The Jays, picked to finish last by Sporting News, look better than that. Vernon Wells is off to a strong start and 25-year-old lefthander Ricky Romero is showing the stuff of a No. 1 starter. Even without Roy Halladay, Toronto doesn’t appear ready to allow Baltimore to escape the cellar. But first place? Ahead of the big boys? That spot is about as secure as Manuel’s job.
The lack of a legitimate closer figures to catch up to the Jays, and Alex Gonzalez won’t rank among the home run leaders for long. He already has four homers after hitting eight last season. Travis Snider still looks like a hitter who was rushed to the majors, and the lineup remains thin after Wells and Adam Lind.
One positive: They don’t play the Yankees till June.
Don’t expect Trevor Hoffman’s struggles to continue.
Trevor Hoffman’s blown saves
Hoffman’s past four blown saves have come against the Cardinals, the latest two over the weekend. Credit the first one to the hitter, Matt Stavinoha, who smacked a decent 1-2 changeup over the left-field fence. The second was the result of poor pitching. Instead of relying on his career-defining changeup, Hoffman fed Albert Pujols and Matt Holliday nothing but fastballs, according to a scout in attendance.
Hoffman’s fastball tops out at around 87 mph on a good day, fast enough to be effective when hitters are focusing on his changeup. Pujols and Holliday, however, aren’t like most hitters. Even when they are thinking changeup, they can adjust and crush a mid-80s fastball. Hoffman found out the hard way. Don’t expect him to keep the changeup in his pocket for long.
The Angels in last
The Angels are no strangers to slow starts. Last year, they overcame early-season injuries that put them in a 6-11 hole. This year, they are adjusting to life without four mainstays lost on the free-agent market. So far, not so good.
Not surprisingly, the offense misses Chone Figgins. Erick Aybar has settled into Figgins’ leadoff spot, but the bottom half of the order isn’t producing. No player has appeared more overmatched than Figgins’ replacement at third, No. 9 hitter Brandon Wood (two singles, one walk in 23 plate appearances). But manager Mike Scioscia won’t let Wood’s struggles get so out of hand that they cost his team. If Wood doesn’t hit, Maicer Izturis easily could slip into the starting role at third.
Still, don’t expect the Angels to run away with the division even when they get right. The Mariners don’t look like the team some (yes, me) thought they’d be, but the Rangers and Athletics are improved. The gap between the top and the bottom of the AL West isn’t as gaping as a year ago.
Stan McNeal is a writer for Sporting News. E-mail him at smcneal@sportingnews.com.
Yes, it’s early. Until hitters get 100 at-bats, scouts don’t start to take stock in the numbers. But the media doesn’t wait. So, with the caveat that "yes, we know there are 150-plus games to go," let’s examine the staying power of early-season trends.
Three that will last
Minnesota’s strong start
Ozzie Guillen once nicknamed the Twins’ offense "piranhas" for its ability to eat away at leads one run at a time. But these Twins have more than speed. They have a lineup stocked with hitters capable of 25-plus homers — Justin Morneau, Joe Mauer, Michael Cuddyer, Jason Kubel/Jim Thome and J.J. Hardy. Who knows, this also could be the year that 24-year-old Delmon Young finds his power. Even without him, the Twins’ offense is in fine shape. "We have some guys who can put the ball in the seats," manager Ron Gardenhire says.
Jon Rauch has been perfect in save opportunities so far.
The bullpen, so far, has overcome the loss of All-Star closer Joe Nathan. Jon Rauch has converted all five of his save chances, but the key has been Matt Guerrier. The 31-year-old righthander might have been named the closer if Gardenhire didn’t value his versatility so much. "He can do so much — get out lefties, pitch multiple innings, pitch in the ninth — that I like him where he is," Gardenhire says.
Despite their fancy new park, don’t think the Twins will change their low-key ways. When Gardenhire named Rauch his closer at the end of spring training, there was no fanfare. On the team’s flight out of Florida, he walked up to Rauch, tapped him on the shoulder and said, "You’re closing."
Seattle’s power woes
Milton Bradley’s big three-run homer Tuesday night could be just what he needs to get on track. More than most, Bradley needs to feel good about himself to play well. The Mariners need him right. They took the plunge on him for his offense more than his defense. But after he had one hit in his first five games, he was dropped in the order. As bad as Bradley has been, however, his two homers represent half of Seattle’s total after its 3-6 start.
Ken Griffey Jr. and Mike Sweeney, both in what could be their final seasons, have combined for one extra-base hit. New first baseman Casey Kotchman and shortstop Jack Wilson are playing up to their reputations as defense-first players.
The Mariners’ defense has been as good as advertised for the most part, and the rotation will get a lift when Cliff Lee returns in May. But the offense might have to rely on Ichiro Suzuki and Figgins even more than expected. Bradley’s production — or lack of — could be the key.
The mess that is the Mets
At least the Mets had a positive opening day. They since have settled into last place and are playing like they plan to stay there. Manager Jerry Manuel called his lineup "unprepared" after Livan Hernandez shut them out for seven innings Sunday.
The rotation remains the biggest issue, and personnel changes might be the only way to change that. John Maine typifies the mess. He imploded in Denver on Tuesday night while throwing a fastball that rarely touched 90 mph. Though that was a tick above his velocity in his first start, his struggles are such that Manuel says the righthander’s spot in the rotation no longer is a given. Maine is scheduled to start Sunday night in St. Louis. Another outing like Tuesday night’s and that could be his last for a while.
Three that won’t
The Blue Jays’ lead in the AL East
The Jays, picked to finish last by Sporting News, look better than that. Vernon Wells is off to a strong start and 25-year-old lefthander Ricky Romero is showing the stuff of a No. 1 starter. Even without Roy Halladay, Toronto doesn’t appear ready to allow Baltimore to escape the cellar. But first place? Ahead of the big boys? That spot is about as secure as Manuel’s job.
The lack of a legitimate closer figures to catch up to the Jays, and Alex Gonzalez won’t rank among the home run leaders for long. He already has four homers after hitting eight last season. Travis Snider still looks like a hitter who was rushed to the majors, and the lineup remains thin after Wells and Adam Lind.
One positive: They don’t play the Yankees till June.
Don’t expect Trevor Hoffman’s struggles to continue.
Trevor Hoffman’s blown saves
Hoffman’s past four blown saves have come against the Cardinals, the latest two over the weekend. Credit the first one to the hitter, Matt Stavinoha, who smacked a decent 1-2 changeup over the left-field fence. The second was the result of poor pitching. Instead of relying on his career-defining changeup, Hoffman fed Albert Pujols and Matt Holliday nothing but fastballs, according to a scout in attendance.
Hoffman’s fastball tops out at around 87 mph on a good day, fast enough to be effective when hitters are focusing on his changeup. Pujols and Holliday, however, aren’t like most hitters. Even when they are thinking changeup, they can adjust and crush a mid-80s fastball. Hoffman found out the hard way. Don’t expect him to keep the changeup in his pocket for long.
The Angels in last
The Angels are no strangers to slow starts. Last year, they overcame early-season injuries that put them in a 6-11 hole. This year, they are adjusting to life without four mainstays lost on the free-agent market. So far, not so good.
Not surprisingly, the offense misses Chone Figgins. Erick Aybar has settled into Figgins’ leadoff spot, but the bottom half of the order isn’t producing. No player has appeared more overmatched than Figgins’ replacement at third, No. 9 hitter Brandon Wood (two singles, one walk in 23 plate appearances). But manager Mike Scioscia won’t let Wood’s struggles get so out of hand that they cost his team. If Wood doesn’t hit, Maicer Izturis easily could slip into the starting role at third.
Still, don’t expect the Angels to run away with the division even when they get right. The Mariners don’t look like the team some (yes, me) thought they’d be, but the Rangers and Athletics are improved. The gap between the top and the bottom of the AL West isn’t as gaping as a year ago.
Stan McNeal is a writer for Sporting News. E-mail him at smcneal@sportingnews.com.
Five places where the impact of the Denver’s trade of wide receiver Brandon Marshall to Miami will be felt:
Brandon Marshall has caught at least 101 passes in each of the past three seasons.
The AFC East
Look at some of the big names that have entered the division this offseason. The Jets have acquired cornerback Antonio Cromartie, wide receiver Santonio Holmes and running back LaDainian Tomlinson. The Dolphins have landed Marshall and inside linebacker Karlos Dansby.
Meanwhile, the Patriots are the defending division champs and hold four of the first 53 picks in the draft, giving them ammo to trade or to stockpile young talent.
"We’ve already received calls relative to our second-round picks, so teams are interested in those," Patriots coach Bill Belichick told reporters Wednesday.
This division should be fun to watch next season. Pity the Bills, who seem to be falling further and further behind.
Denver Broncos
They wanted a first-round pick for Marshall but certainly can live with getting a second-rounder this year (No. 43 overall) and second-rounder in 2011.
Trading Marshall rids them of a player who caused many headaches for coach Josh McDaniels. Marshall, however, also made a lot of plays. He is one of the NFL’s best receivers, catching at least 101 passes in each of the past three seasons. Talent like that is not easy to find, no matter how many draft picks you have.
Since McDaniels arrived, the Broncos have traded two young offensive players, Marshall and quarterback Jay Cutler, who had the potential to be franchise cornerstones. The pressure only will increase on McDaniels to prove that dealing Cutler and Marshall will help the Broncos long term more than it will hurt.
Miami Dolphins
Finally, they have a consistent big-time threat at wide receiver. Quarterback Chad Henne must be screaming for joy. Marshall adds balance to an offense that already has a potent ground attack featuring Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown, although Brown is on the trading block.
If Marshall stays healthy and out of trouble, Henne-to-Marshall should be one of the league’s most productive quarterback-receiver combos. Meanwhile, wide receiver Ted Ginn Jr., a big disappointment since being the No. 9-overall pick of the ’07 draft, becomes even more expendable.
"To me, Ted Ginn is a kick returner," NFL Network draft analyst Mike Mayock said Wednesday during a conference call. "He’s not a No. 1 or even a No. 2 wide receiver.”
The draft
With Marshall no longer on the trading block, the market for the top-rated wide receiver in the draft, Dez Bryant of Oklahoma State, could get extremely hot. There are character concerns about Bryant, but there are teams with high draft picks that have a need at receiver.
The Seahawks (No. 6 and No. 14 picks), Browns (No. 7) and Broncos (No. 11) surely are interested. Meanwhile, teams like the Bengals (No. 21) and Patriots (No. 22) might be willing to trade up to get Bryant.
Seattle Seahawks
Don’t be too quick to trash the Seahawks for losing out on Marshall. They brought him in for a visit last month and were genuinely interested. But they did not want to part with a first-round pick or multiple second-round picks. So the Dolphins swooped in to land Marshall.
Getting Marshall would have helped the Seahawks next season, but they are rebuilding and a long way from winning a Super Bowl. How new coach Pete Carroll fares long term will depend on drafting well and finding a young quarterback to lead the offense, whether it’s Charlie Whitehurst or somebody else.
Clifton Brown is a writer for Sporting News. E-mail him at cliftonbrown@sportingnews.com.
Five places where the impact of the Denver’s trade of wide receiver Brandon Marshall to Miami will be felt:
Brandon Marshall has caught at least 101 passes in each of the past three seasons.
The AFC East
Look at some of the big names that have entered the division this offseason. The Jets have acquired cornerback Antonio Cromartie, wide receiver Santonio Holmes and running back LaDainian Tomlinson. The Dolphins have landed Marshall and inside linebacker Karlos Dansby.
Meanwhile, the Patriots are the defending division champs and hold four of the first 53 picks in the draft, giving them ammo to trade or to stockpile young talent.
"We’ve already received calls relative to our second-round picks, so teams are interested in those," Patriots coach Bill Belichick told reporters Wednesday.
This division should be fun to watch next season. Pity the Bills, who seem to be falling further and further behind.
Denver Broncos
They wanted a first-round pick for Marshall but certainly can live with getting a second-rounder this year (No. 43 overall) and second-rounder in 2011.
Trading Marshall rids them of a player who caused many headaches for coach Josh McDaniels. Marshall, however, also made a lot of plays. He is one of the NFL’s best receivers, catching at least 101 passes in each of the past three seasons. Talent like that is not easy to find, no matter how many draft picks you have.
Since McDaniels arrived, the Broncos have traded two young offensive players, Marshall and quarterback Jay Cutler, who had the potential to be franchise cornerstones. The pressure only will increase on McDaniels to prove that dealing Cutler and Marshall will help the Broncos long term more than it will hurt.
Miami Dolphins
Finally, they have a consistent big-time threat at wide receiver. Quarterback Chad Henne must be screaming for joy. Marshall adds balance to an offense that already has a potent ground attack featuring Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown, although Brown is on the trading block.
If Marshall stays healthy and out of trouble, Henne-to-Marshall should be one of the league’s most productive quarterback-receiver combos. Meanwhile, wide receiver Ted Ginn Jr., a big disappointment since being the No. 9-overall pick of the ’07 draft, becomes even more expendable.
"To me, Ted Ginn is a kick returner," NFL Network draft analyst Mike Mayock said Wednesday during a conference call. "He’s not a No. 1 or even a No. 2 wide receiver.”
The draft
With Marshall no longer on the trading block, the market for the top-rated wide receiver in the draft, Dez Bryant of Oklahoma State, could get extremely hot. There are character concerns about Bryant, but there are teams with high draft picks that have a need at receiver.
The Seahawks (No. 6 and No. 14 picks), Browns (No. 7) and Broncos (No. 11) surely are interested. Meanwhile, teams like the Bengals (No. 21) and Patriots (No. 22) might be willing to trade up to get Bryant.
Seattle Seahawks
Don’t be too quick to trash the Seahawks for losing out on Marshall. They brought him in for a visit last month and were genuinely interested. But they did not want to part with a first-round pick or multiple second-round picks. So the Dolphins swooped in to land Marshall.
Getting Marshall would have helped the Seahawks next season, but they are rebuilding and a long way from winning a Super Bowl. How new coach Pete Carroll fares long term will depend on drafting well and finding a young quarterback to lead the offense, whether it’s Charlie Whitehurst or somebody else.
Clifton Brown is a writer for Sporting News. E-mail him at cliftonbrown@sportingnews.com.
Chris Bahr, Sporting News
What to expect in the major leagues today:
Scott Kazmir wants to pick up where he left off in the 2009 regular season.
Firsts in the finale
Before the Angels catch their flight to Toronto, they will wrap up their series at Yankee Stadium tonight. Left-hander Scott Kazmir, who began the season on the disabled list, will make his 2010 debut for Los Angeles. He will face Phil Hughes, who will make his first start since last May 31. Hughes won the spring competition to be the world champions’ fifth starter but has a 5.22 ERA in 28 career starts (compared to a 1.40 ERA in 44 relief appearances). As for Kazmir, the Angels hope he will perform like he did after they acquired him late last August (1.73 ERA in six starts), as opposed to how he pitched with the Rays before the trade (5.92 ERA in 20 starts).
Working out the wrinkles
Offseason acquisition Ben Sheets will make his third start of the season for Oakland tonight. Sheets has been decent after a year-long layoff, but he has had to pitch his way out of plenty of jams. The right-hander has allowed 21 baserunners in 14 innings and has a poor 7/4 BB/K ratio after two starts. Baltimore is in town tonight for the first of four games, meaning A’s fans will get their first look at former Oakland shortstop Miguel Tejada since 2006. Tejada has hit more homers (83) at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum than any other park during his 14-season major league career.
No mercy for Mets
The woes continue for the last-place Mets, who are in the third game of a 19-game stretch against teams that finished 2009 with winning records. This afternoon, they will finish a three-game series at Coors Field before heading to St. Louis. The good news for New York: Shortstop Jose Reyes is healthy and third baseman David Wright already has more homers than he did last April (one).
Chris Bahr is Sporting News’ baseball editor. E-mail him at cbahr@sportingnews.com.
Chris Bahr, Sporting News
What to expect in the major leagues today:
Scott Kazmir wants to pick up where he left off in the 2009 regular season.
Firsts in the finale
Before the Angels catch their flight to Toronto, they will wrap up their series at Yankee Stadium tonight. Left-hander Scott Kazmir, who began the season on the disabled list, will make his 2010 debut for Los Angeles. He will face Phil Hughes, who will make his first start since last May 31. Hughes won the spring competition to be the world champions’ fifth starter but has a 5.22 ERA in 28 career starts (compared to a 1.40 ERA in 44 relief appearances). As for Kazmir, the Angels hope he will perform like he did after they acquired him late last August (1.73 ERA in six starts), as opposed to how he pitched with the Rays before the trade (5.92 ERA in 20 starts).
Working out the wrinkles
Offseason acquisition Ben Sheets will make his third start of the season for Oakland tonight. Sheets has been decent after a year-long layoff, but he has had to pitch his way out of plenty of jams. The right-hander has allowed 21 baserunners in 14 innings and has a poor 7/4 BB/K ratio after two starts. Baltimore is in town tonight for the first of four games, meaning A’s fans will get their first look at former Oakland shortstop Miguel Tejada since 2006. Tejada has hit more homers (83) at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum than any other park during his 14-season major league career.
No mercy for Mets
The woes continue for the last-place Mets, who are in the third game of a 19-game stretch against teams that finished 2009 with winning records. This afternoon, they will finish a three-game series at Coors Field before heading to St. Louis. The good news for New York: Shortstop Jose Reyes is healthy and third baseman David Wright already has more homers than he did last April (one).
Chris Bahr is Sporting News’ baseball editor. E-mail him at cbahr@sportingnews.com.
Sporting News’ Pro Football War Room has hundreds of player evaluations in preparation for the 2010 NFL draft. Here is a capsule look at prospect
Joe Haden.
NFL position: CB
Height: 5-11 3/4
Weight: 193
40 time: 4.46
Current projection: First-round pick
NFL comparison: Leon Hall, Bengals.
Coverage skills: Is a natural. Is physical, but must improve technique. Shows a choppy and high backpedal, limiting ability to transition as quickly as he could. More often than not, uses a side-pedal/shuffle rather than a straight backpedal and thus can be turned around by receivers who disguise routes until the break point. When in "trail" coverage, maintains good position on receiver’s hip, jostling and slowing receiver with slight contact and then using inside arm to break up passes. Grade: 7.5
Run/pass recognition: Shows great instincts. Does not get fooled by pump fakes or misdirection plays, and consistently stays in good coverage position. Reads quarterbacks/routes well to close quickly despite poor footwork. Grade: 8.0
Closing speed: Is explosive, usually arriving in time to break up the pass. Shows elite closing speed in pursuit; reaches full speed quickly to reach the ballcarrier quickly. Grade: 8.5
Ball skills: This is best asset. Controls body well to reach in front of receivers to break up passes without committing penalties. Is aggressive going for breakups. Shows good instincts and ball skills with back to quarterback, reading receiver well to know when to turn his head and go for the ball. Shows good hands. Doesn’t cut in front of receivers often to make tough interceptions; all interceptions we’ve seen on film came when he was in "off" coverage. Grade: 8.0
Run support: Is tough and aggressive, and will deliver hard hits. On quick dump-off passes to running backs, flies upfield, avoids blocks and closes quickly to make the tackle. Shows surprising competitiveness to fight through receivers’ blocks to make tackles. Grade: 8.5
Bottom line: Haden, a junior, is so physically gifted he will really impress anyone who has questions about his ability to overcome his technique problems. He is an instinctive defender who consistently competes at a high level and makes plays all over the field. Haden is not a finished product, but his combination of athleticism, explosiveness, competitiveness, instincts, toughness and ball skills have us convinced he will improve his technique enough to become a very productive NFL starter.
Sporting News’ Pro Football War Room has hundreds of player evaluations in preparation for the 2010 NFL draft. Here is a capsule look at prospect
Joe Haden.
NFL position: CB
Height: 5-11 3/4
Weight: 193
40 time: 4.46
Current projection: First-round pick
NFL comparison: Leon Hall, Bengals.
Coverage skills: Is a natural. Is physical, but must improve technique. Shows a choppy and high backpedal, limiting ability to transition as quickly as he could. More often than not, uses a side-pedal/shuffle rather than a straight backpedal and thus can be turned around by receivers who disguise routes until the break point. When in "trail" coverage, maintains good position on receiver’s hip, jostling and slowing receiver with slight contact and then using inside arm to break up passes. Grade: 7.5
Run/pass recognition: Shows great instincts. Does not get fooled by pump fakes or misdirection plays, and consistently stays in good coverage position. Reads quarterbacks/routes well to close quickly despite poor footwork. Grade: 8.0
Closing speed: Is explosive, usually arriving in time to break up the pass. Shows elite closing speed in pursuit; reaches full speed quickly to reach the ballcarrier quickly. Grade: 8.5
Ball skills: This is best asset. Controls body well to reach in front of receivers to break up passes without committing penalties. Is aggressive going for breakups. Shows good instincts and ball skills with back to quarterback, reading receiver well to know when to turn his head and go for the ball. Shows good hands. Doesn’t cut in front of receivers often to make tough interceptions; all interceptions we’ve seen on film came when he was in "off" coverage. Grade: 8.0
Run support: Is tough and aggressive, and will deliver hard hits. On quick dump-off passes to running backs, flies upfield, avoids blocks and closes quickly to make the tackle. Shows surprising competitiveness to fight through receivers’ blocks to make tackles. Grade: 8.5
Bottom line: Haden, a junior, is so physically gifted he will really impress anyone who has questions about his ability to overcome his technique problems. He is an instinctive defender who consistently competes at a high level and makes plays all over the field. Haden is not a finished product, but his combination of athleticism, explosiveness, competitiveness, instincts, toughness and ball skills have us convinced he will improve his technique enough to become a very productive NFL starter.
What to expect in the major leagues today:
Petco production
Tommy Hanson looks to try to quiet the suddenly hot Padres bats in San Diego.
Prior to Monday’s 17-run outburst in their home opener, the Padres had scored 19 runs in six games this season. Eight of San Diego’s 25 extra-base hits this season also came in that blowout win. Surprisingly, the Padres’ bats came to life against Jair Jurrjens, the Braves’ 24-year-old righthander who finished fifth in the majors last season with a 2.60 ERA. Seeking to get back to .500, Atlanta will throw another young ace, 23-year-old Tommy Hanson, this evening. Hanson also finished last season with a sub-3.00 ERA but allowed an uncharacteristic two homers in first outing this season. The only other time Hanson allowed multiple homers in a start was his major league debut in 2009.
Some help for C.J.
Confident that he could make a successful transition from reliever to starter, Rangers lefthander C.J. Wilson had a successful 2010 debut. He struck out nine Blue Jays in seven scoreless innings in his first start since 2005. Wilson was denied a win, however, thanks to poor run support and closer Frank Francisco’s first blown save. Working in Wilson’s favor tonight in Cleveland: Nelson Cruz and Neftali Feliz. In his past four games, Cruz is 7-for-14 with three homers and six RBIs. Feliz, who has five strikeouts and no runs allowed in his past three outings, has taken over the ninth-inning duties.
Wells at Wrigley
This afternoon, the Cubs will try to get to .500 for the first time this season behind the right arm of the man who delivered their first win of the season. Randy Wells, who tied for the team lead in wins (12) as a rookie in 2009, blanked the Braves over six innings last week. The Brewers, also 3-4 this season, will counter with righthander Dave Bush, who had his share of problems (6.20 ERA) in four starts against Chicago last season.
Chris Bahr is Sporting News’ baseball editor. E-mail him at cbahr@sportingnews.com.
What to expect in the major leagues today:
Petco production
Tommy Hanson looks to try to quiet the suddenly hot Padres bats in San Diego.
Prior to Monday’s 17-run outburst in their home opener, the Padres had scored 19 runs in six games this season. Eight of San Diego’s 25 extra-base hits this season also came in that blowout win. Surprisingly, the Padres’ bats came to life against Jair Jurrjens, the Braves’ 24-year-old righthander who finished fifth in the majors last season with a 2.60 ERA. Seeking to get back to .500, Atlanta will throw another young ace, 23-year-old Tommy Hanson, this evening. Hanson also finished last season with a sub-3.00 ERA but allowed an uncharacteristic two homers in first outing this season. The only other time Hanson allowed multiple homers in a start was his major league debut in 2009.
Some help for C.J.
Confident that he could make a successful transition from reliever to starter, Rangers lefthander C.J. Wilson had a successful 2010 debut. He struck out nine Blue Jays in seven scoreless innings in his first start since 2005. Wilson was denied a win, however, thanks to poor run support and closer Frank Francisco’s first blown save. Working in Wilson’s favor tonight in Cleveland: Nelson Cruz and Neftali Feliz. In his past four games, Cruz is 7-for-14 with three homers and six RBIs. Feliz, who has five strikeouts and no runs allowed in his past three outings, has taken over the ninth-inning duties.
Wells at Wrigley
This afternoon, the Cubs will try to get to .500 for the first time this season behind the right arm of the man who delivered their first win of the season. Randy Wells, who tied for the team lead in wins (12) as a rookie in 2009, blanked the Braves over six innings last week. The Brewers, also 3-4 this season, will counter with righthander Dave Bush, who had his share of problems (6.20 ERA) in four starts against Chicago last season.
Chris Bahr is Sporting News’ baseball editor. E-mail him at cbahr@sportingnews.com.
Sporting News’ Pro Football War Room has hundreds of player evaluations in preparation for the 2010 NFL draft. Here is a capsule look at prospect
Earl Thomas.
It doesn’t take a leap of faith to see Earl Thomas as the draft’s best safety prospect.
NFL position: S
Height: 5-10 1/4
Weight: 208
40 time: 4.48
Current projection: First-round pick
NFL comparison: Antoine Bethea, Colts
Coverage skills: Can make plays on deep passes along the sideline. Plays the ball well when he can see it, but when he running with back to the quarterback doesn’t always react in time. Turns and runs well with receivers man-to-man. Covers tight ends and running backs well man-to-man. In zone, reads the QB well from deep alignment. Closes fast and aggressively to break up passes or deliver hard hits. Is effective in all types of coverage. Grade: 7.0
Run/pass recognition: Is an instinctive player who reacts quickly to plays. Reads the play quickly and has the speed to chase down receivers sideline-to-sideline. Closes quickly on passes in front of him. Is rarely fooled on play-action fakes, and maintains his position in coverage. Grade: 7.5
Closing speed: Is a finisher. In coverage, has the burst to catch up with tight ends or running backs after initial separation. When chasing ballcarriers, at times stays upright and struggles to make good tackles. Grade: 8.5
Ball skills: Reaches in front of receivers to break up passes nicely. When back to the quarterback, lacks ball awareness. When getting both hands on the ball, makes the interception. Grade: 6.5
Run support: Is aggressive. Moves through traffic and has the strength to fight through blocks by wide receivers. Often launches himself at ball carriers to make a violent hit, but can miss tackles this way. Sometimes overruns the ball carrier when upright in pursuit. Can be a strong and physical tackler in run support when under control, keeping knees bent and maintaining good balance. Grade: 7.5
Bottom line: Thomas, a junior, moved up draft boards as more teams fully vetted his film. Tennessee’s Eric Berry has received more publicity and could well be the first safety drafted, but we feel confident that Thomas will be the better pro because he’s much better against the run than Berry.
Sporting News’ Pro Football War Room has hundreds of player evaluations in preparation for the 2010 NFL draft. Here is a capsule look at prospect
Earl Thomas.
It doesn’t take a leap of faith to see Earl Thomas as the draft’s best safety prospect.
NFL position: S
Height: 5-10 1/4
Weight: 208
40 time: 4.48
Current projection: First-round pick
NFL comparison: Antoine Bethea, Colts
Coverage skills: Can make plays on deep passes along the sideline. Plays the ball well when he can see it, but when he running with back to the quarterback doesn’t always react in time. Turns and runs well with receivers man-to-man. Covers tight ends and running backs well man-to-man. In zone, reads the QB well from deep alignment. Closes fast and aggressively to break up passes or deliver hard hits. Is effective in all types of coverage. Grade: 7.0
Run/pass recognition: Is an instinctive player who reacts quickly to plays. Reads the play quickly and has the speed to chase down receivers sideline-to-sideline. Closes quickly on passes in front of him. Is rarely fooled on play-action fakes, and maintains his position in coverage. Grade: 7.5
Closing speed: Is a finisher. In coverage, has the burst to catch up with tight ends or running backs after initial separation. When chasing ballcarriers, at times stays upright and struggles to make good tackles. Grade: 8.5
Ball skills: Reaches in front of receivers to break up passes nicely. When back to the quarterback, lacks ball awareness. When getting both hands on the ball, makes the interception. Grade: 6.5
Run support: Is aggressive. Moves through traffic and has the strength to fight through blocks by wide receivers. Often launches himself at ball carriers to make a violent hit, but can miss tackles this way. Sometimes overruns the ball carrier when upright in pursuit. Can be a strong and physical tackler in run support when under control, keeping knees bent and maintaining good balance. Grade: 7.5
Bottom line: Thomas, a junior, moved up draft boards as more teams fully vetted his film. Tennessee’s Eric Berry has received more publicity and could well be the first safety drafted, but we feel confident that Thomas will be the better pro because he’s much better against the run than Berry.
