VIERA, Fla. — Top draft pick Stephen Strasburg has made his spring training debut for the Washington Nationals, pitching two scoreless innings against the Detroit Tigers.
Starting for Washington, Strasburg threw 15 of his 27 pitches for strikes and allowed two hits, successive two-out singles by Don Kelly and Alex Avila in the second. But the right-hander finished off Brent Dlugach with a bending, 81 mph breaking ball for an inning-ending strikeout.
Strasburg’s four-seam fastball was consistently measured in the 97-98 mph range and he struck out two Tuesday. But he had some problems with location and threw first-pitch strikes to only two of the eight batters he faced.
Copyright 2010 Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.
VIERA, Fla. — Top draft pick Stephen Strasburg has made his spring training debut for the Washington Nationals, pitching two scoreless innings against the Detroit Tigers.
Starting for Washington, Strasburg threw 15 of his 27 pitches for strikes and allowed two hits, successive two-out singles by Don Kelly and Alex Avila in the second. But the right-hander finished off Brent Dlugach with a bending, 81 mph breaking ball for an inning-ending strikeout.
Strasburg’s four-seam fastball was consistently measured in the 97-98 mph range and he struck out two Tuesday. But he had some problems with location and threw first-pitch strikes to only two of the eight batters he faced.
Copyright 2010 Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.
There isn’t an "under new management" sign hanging at Wrigley Field, but the Cubs finally have a new owner in place in Tom Ricketts. Ricketts has big plans for stadium improvements, with the clubhouse apparently first on the list in terms of upgrades. Players no longer will have to walk on eggshells now that the brief Milton Bradley era is history. The biggest question about the Cubs, of course, remains the same: Is this the year?
P Carlos Zambrano is one of two high-profile Cubs who shed weight in the offseason.
Three questions
1. Who will hit leadoff?
For the first time since 2007, it won’t be Alfonso Soriano, at least according to manager Lou Piniella. Miscast as the table-setter for several seasons — often out of necessity because of the team’s lack of alternatives — Soriano was dropped in the order during the 2009 season and now is penciled into the sixth spot. Soriano’s knee problems will limit the stolen-base ability that once made him attractive atop the order, and his power will result in better run production in the heart of the order.
One thing is clear: The team needs improvement from the 1-hole. Last season, Cubs leadoff hitters finished 27th in the majors with a .249 batting average and 21st with a .335 on-base percentage. Ryan Theriot is the front-runner for the job because, unlike Kosuke Fukudome, he will be an everyday fixture in the lineup. Theriot did a nice job — .283 average, .354 on-base percentage — in 194 plate appearances as the Cubs’ leadoff man in 2009.
2. Will less mean more?
Each trying to bounce back from a forgettable season, ace Carlos Zambrano and catcher Geovany Soto, the 2008 NL rookie of the year, worked hard to get into better shape over the offseason. Soto dropped close to 40 pounds, after dropping 67 points from his batting average last season. Zambrano, whose nine wins in 2009 were a career low for a full season, lost about 15 pounds.
Fitting into their skinny jeans is a nice payoff, but the main thing to glean here is the players’ dedication to improvement. Especially in the case of Zambrano, whose stuff and ability have been questioned far less than his drive. "I can tell you he’s got a lot of pride and he took to heart what happened last season," pitching coach Larry Rothschild said. As for Soto, he might not hit 23 homers (as he did in 2008), but his .381 slugging percentage is bound to tick upward.
3. Is the ninth inning in safe hands?
The Cubs ended the Kevin Gregg experiment by mid-August last season, following his sixth blown save. Carlos Marmol assumed the ninth-inning duties at that point and went 11-for-11 in save opportunities to finish the season. However, he wasn’t always squeaky-clean in the process. The knock on Marmol — and perhaps the reason he didn’t begin the 2009 season in the closer role — is his questionable control. During his impressive end-of-season run, he walked 13 batters in 17 2/3 innings. For the season, he issued 65 free passes in 74 innings.
Not only does the recent shoulder injury to setup man Angel Guzman significantly weaken the team’s eighth-inning situation, it eliminates a potential Plan B if Marmol should struggle.
Projected lineup
1. SS Ryan Theriot: Averaged 24 SBs past three seasons.
2. RF Kosuke Fukudome: .164 AVG vs. lefties; .270 vs. righties.
3. 1B Derrek Lee: Career-high 111 RBIs in ’09; in contract year.
4. 3B Aramis Ramirez: Career-best .389 OBP in injury-marred ’09.
5. CF Marlon Byrd: Led Rangers with 89 RBIs last season.
6. LF Alfonso Soriano: Career-worst .726 OPS in ’09.
7. C Geovany Soto: Hit into 19 double plays (second among Cs).
8. 2B Mike Fontenot: .246 OBP vs. lefties.
Projected rotation
1. RHP Carlos Zambrano: 1.37 WHIP worst among Cubs’ 09 SPs.
2. RHP Ryan Dempster: 4.09 ERA in first half; 3.15 after break.
3. RHP Randy Wells: Rookie’s 3.05 ERA was rotation’s best in ’09.
4. LHP Tom Gorzelanny:5.19 ERA after trade to Cubs last season.
5. RHP Jeff Samardzija: 10.80 ERA in 2 starts in ’09.
Projected closer
RHP Carlos Marmol: Held hitters to a .170 AVG
Grades
Offense: B. The Cubs went from second to 22nd in runs scored and from third to 16th in OBP last season. If Soriano and Aramis Ramirez are healthy, the lineup compares favorably to any in the NL, especially after the offseason addition of Marlon Byrd. But those are big "ifs," as is the production at the bottom and top of the order.
Pitching: C. The big concern is Ted Lilly, who is expected to begin the season on the disabled list after offseason shoulder surgery and knee problems this spring. But the developing late-inning drama also is a worry.
Bench: A. Xavier Nady was signed as the fourth outfielder but should be no worse than a platoon player in right field (and perhaps the starter). On the infield, Jeff Baker is in a similar situation, as he could overtake Mike Fontenot for the starting job at second. Micah Hoffpauir provides pop and can play first base as well as the corner outfield spots.
Manager: B. Lou Piniella has guided the team to the postseason twice in his three seasons at the helm, but has no playoff wins to show for it. This could be his final season in a Cubs uniform, and he has enough talent – and doesn’t have the Bradley headache — for another postseason run.
Sporting News prediction: After winning back-to-back NL Central titles in 2007-08, the Cubs are destined for a second consecutive second-place finish. But they should be squarely in the mix for the NL wild card.
Coming Wednesday: Brewers preview.
Chris Bahr is a senior editor for Sporting News. E-mail him at cbahr@sportingnews.com.
There isn’t an "under new management" sign hanging at Wrigley Field, but the Cubs finally have a new owner in place in Tom Ricketts. Ricketts has big plans for stadium improvements, with the clubhouse apparently first on the list in terms of upgrades. Players no longer will have to walk on eggshells now that the brief Milton Bradley era is history. The biggest question about the Cubs, of course, remains the same: Is this the year?
P Carlos Zambrano is one of two high-profile Cubs who shed weight in the offseason.
Three questions
1. Who will hit leadoff?
For the first time since 2007, it won’t be Alfonso Soriano, at least according to manager Lou Piniella. Miscast as the table-setter for several seasons — often out of necessity because of the team’s lack of alternatives — Soriano was dropped in the order during the 2009 season and now is penciled into the sixth spot. Soriano’s knee problems will limit the stolen-base ability that once made him attractive atop the order, and his power will result in better run production in the heart of the order.
One thing is clear: The team needs improvement from the 1-hole. Last season, Cubs leadoff hitters finished 27th in the majors with a .249 batting average and 21st with a .335 on-base percentage. Ryan Theriot is the front-runner for the job because, unlike Kosuke Fukudome, he will be an everyday fixture in the lineup. Theriot did a nice job — .283 average, .354 on-base percentage — in 194 plate appearances as the Cubs’ leadoff man in 2009.
2. Will less mean more?
Each trying to bounce back from a forgettable season, ace Carlos Zambrano and catcher Geovany Soto, the 2008 NL rookie of the year, worked hard to get into better shape over the offseason. Soto dropped close to 40 pounds, after dropping 67 points from his batting average last season. Zambrano, whose nine wins in 2009 were a career low for a full season, lost about 15 pounds.
Fitting into their skinny jeans is a nice payoff, but the main thing to glean here is the players’ dedication to improvement. Especially in the case of Zambrano, whose stuff and ability have been questioned far less than his drive. "I can tell you he’s got a lot of pride and he took to heart what happened last season," pitching coach Larry Rothschild said. As for Soto, he might not hit 23 homers (as he did in 2008), but his .381 slugging percentage is bound to tick upward.
3. Is the ninth inning in safe hands?
The Cubs ended the Kevin Gregg experiment by mid-August last season, following his sixth blown save. Carlos Marmol assumed the ninth-inning duties at that point and went 11-for-11 in save opportunities to finish the season. However, he wasn’t always squeaky-clean in the process. The knock on Marmol — and perhaps the reason he didn’t begin the 2009 season in the closer role — is his questionable control. During his impressive end-of-season run, he walked 13 batters in 17 2/3 innings. For the season, he issued 65 free passes in 74 innings.
Not only does the recent shoulder injury to setup man Angel Guzman significantly weaken the team’s eighth-inning situation, it eliminates a potential Plan B if Marmol should struggle.
Projected lineup
1. SS Ryan Theriot: Averaged 24 SBs past three seasons.
2. RF Kosuke Fukudome: .164 AVG vs. lefties; .270 vs. righties.
3. 1B Derrek Lee: Career-high 111 RBIs in ’09; in contract year.
4. 3B Aramis Ramirez: Career-best .389 OBP in injury-marred ’09.
5. CF Marlon Byrd: Led Rangers with 89 RBIs last season.
6. LF Alfonso Soriano: Career-worst .726 OPS in ’09.
7. C Geovany Soto: Hit into 19 double plays (second among Cs).
8. 2B Mike Fontenot: .246 OBP vs. lefties.
Projected rotation
1. RHP Carlos Zambrano: 1.37 WHIP worst among Cubs’ 09 SPs.
2. RHP Ryan Dempster: 4.09 ERA in first half; 3.15 after break.
3. RHP Randy Wells: Rookie’s 3.05 ERA was rotation’s best in ’09.
4. LHP Tom Gorzelanny:5.19 ERA after trade to Cubs last season.
5. RHP Jeff Samardzija: 10.80 ERA in 2 starts in ’09.
Projected closer
RHP Carlos Marmol: Held hitters to a .170 AVG
Grades
Offense: B. The Cubs went from second to 22nd in runs scored and from third to 16th in OBP last season. If Soriano and Aramis Ramirez are healthy, the lineup compares favorably to any in the NL, especially after the offseason addition of Marlon Byrd. But those are big "ifs," as is the production at the bottom and top of the order.
Pitching: C. The big concern is Ted Lilly, who is expected to begin the season on the disabled list after offseason shoulder surgery and knee problems this spring. But the developing late-inning drama also is a worry.
Bench: A. Xavier Nady was signed as the fourth outfielder but should be no worse than a platoon player in right field (and perhaps the starter). On the infield, Jeff Baker is in a similar situation, as he could overtake Mike Fontenot for the starting job at second. Micah Hoffpauir provides pop and can play first base as well as the corner outfield spots.
Manager: B. Lou Piniella has guided the team to the postseason twice in his three seasons at the helm, but has no playoff wins to show for it. This could be his final season in a Cubs uniform, and he has enough talent – and doesn’t have the Bradley headache — for another postseason run.
Sporting News prediction: After winning back-to-back NL Central titles in 2007-08, the Cubs are destined for a second consecutive second-place finish. But they should be squarely in the mix for the NL wild card.
Coming Wednesday: Brewers preview.
Chris Bahr is a senior editor for Sporting News. E-mail him at cbahr@sportingnews.com.
The Jackie Robinson Foundation will honor Selig at its awards banquet tonight in New York with a Robie Award, given to "individuals who embody the humanitarian ideals of Jackie Robinson." Selig, a self-described American history buff who calls Robinson breaking baseball’s color barrier in 1947 "one of the most important moments of the 20th century," recently spoke about the honor — and its namesake — with Sporting News’ Ryan Fagan.
Bud Selig has been baseball commissioner since 1992.
Sporting New: How big of an honor is this for you?
Bud Selig: I’ve often said that I think baseball’s proudest, most meaningful moment was April 15, 1947. When I think what Branch Rickey did, who I have deep admiration for, after all, think about this: He did it before the Civil Rights movement, per se, he did it before Harry Truman desegregated the United States Army, he did it before the famed Brown vs. the Board of Education decision. It’s remarkable.
And Jackie, under incredible pressure, pressure that — I’ve talked to a lot of people about this over the years — was just stunning. And he made it, and it was just a remarkable chapter in baseball history.
So here, a man that I admire so much and to get their historic lifetime achievement award, given how I feel, I must tell you, is a wonderful honor. And I’m really deeply touched by it.
SN: Baseball retired Robinson’s number in 1997. Where does that rank on the list of accomplishments during your time as commissioner?
BS: Very high. I’m very proud of the wild card and revenue sharing the interleague play and the whole restructuring of the game, and our Internet company and our channel. But the favorite part of my career, which is 45 years old now, is what I call the sociological part.
The impact that this sport has in society is remarkable, absolutely remarkable. Its history is revered like no other history. Here’s the whole Jackie Robinson situation, which I don’t think had been really properly honored. So that was a decision, when you look back on it, you wonder why there was ever any hesitation. I’m obviously very proud of it.
‘It was remarkable what a great athlete he (Jackie Robinson) was,’ Selig says.
SN: What’s the first thing that pops into your mind about Jackie Robinson?
BS: Courage. I did something way back when in my career; I talked to a lot of people who played with him, played against him or had roles in either a negative sense or who had been sorry for what they had done. I wanted to hear from people who witnessed the abuse that he took, witnessed the pressures.
I don’t think he’d mind if I tell you, but Dixie Walker, who was with the Milwaukee Braves in the ’60s when I was just breaking in — I got to know Dixie real well. I used to talk to him about that because I was fascinated back then about Jackie Robinson. I was fortunate to see him here, and in Brooklyn, I went to some games in the late ’40s, and I saw him play in Chicago. I saw him play in Wrigley Field in 1947, the first trip in. A friend of mine went down to the game, as we often did.
I must tell you, one thing I say about (Jackie), and against the Braves, even against the great players like (Warren) Spahn and (Lew) Burdette … he was the most electrifying player I’ve ever seen. He wasn’t the greatest player I’ve ever seen, but certainly a Hall of Famer. And think about this, what a great athlete he was. Didn’t get his chance in the big leagues until I believe he was 28. But in football, there were people who said he was better than Kenny Washington. Think about that. Kenny Washington was a great player, and he was just … it was remarkable what a great athlete he was.
SN: What else comes to mind?
BS: He took a lot of abuse, even in the service. You read the stories — and I’ve read every book on Jackie Robinson, and I’ve talked to (his wife) Rachel about it — about the trip in ’46 when he first went to get ready for the International League season, and how they had to ride buses and they were rejected out of homes they had to live in.
But think of the pressure on him, and because he made it, there was a Hank Aaron, who happens to be a very close friend of mine as you probably know, and Willie Mays and Bob Gibson and Willie Stargell and on and on and on. He really changed America in so many ways. To get an honor like this from the Jackie Robinson Foundation is very, very meaningful.
Ryan Fagan is a writer for Sporting News. E-mail him at rfagan@sportingnews.com, and follow him on Twitter at twitter.com/ryan_fagan.
The Jackie Robinson Foundation will honor Selig at its awards banquet tonight in New York with a Robie Award, given to "individuals who embody the humanitarian ideals of Jackie Robinson." Selig, a self-described American history buff who calls Robinson breaking baseball’s color barrier in 1947 "one of the most important moments of the 20th century," recently spoke about the honor — and its namesake — with Sporting News’ Ryan Fagan.
Bud Selig has been baseball commissioner since 1992.
Sporting New: How big of an honor is this for you?
Bud Selig: I’ve often said that I think baseball’s proudest, most meaningful moment was April 15, 1947. When I think what Branch Rickey did, who I have deep admiration for, after all, think about this: He did it before the Civil Rights movement, per se, he did it before Harry Truman desegregated the United States Army, he did it before the famed Brown vs. the Board of Education decision. It’s remarkable.
And Jackie, under incredible pressure, pressure that — I’ve talked to a lot of people about this over the years — was just stunning. And he made it, and it was just a remarkable chapter in baseball history.
So here, a man that I admire so much and to get their historic lifetime achievement award, given how I feel, I must tell you, is a wonderful honor. And I’m really deeply touched by it.
SN: Baseball retired Robinson’s number in 1997. Where does that rank on the list of accomplishments during your time as commissioner?
BS: Very high. I’m very proud of the wild card and revenue sharing the interleague play and the whole restructuring of the game, and our Internet company and our channel. But the favorite part of my career, which is 45 years old now, is what I call the sociological part.
The impact that this sport has in society is remarkable, absolutely remarkable. Its history is revered like no other history. Here’s the whole Jackie Robinson situation, which I don’t think had been really properly honored. So that was a decision, when you look back on it, you wonder why there was ever any hesitation. I’m obviously very proud of it.
‘It was remarkable what a great athlete he (Jackie Robinson) was,’ Selig says.
SN: What’s the first thing that pops into your mind about Jackie Robinson?
BS: Courage. I did something way back when in my career; I talked to a lot of people who played with him, played against him or had roles in either a negative sense or who had been sorry for what they had done. I wanted to hear from people who witnessed the abuse that he took, witnessed the pressures.
I don’t think he’d mind if I tell you, but Dixie Walker, who was with the Milwaukee Braves in the ’60s when I was just breaking in — I got to know Dixie real well. I used to talk to him about that because I was fascinated back then about Jackie Robinson. I was fortunate to see him here, and in Brooklyn, I went to some games in the late ’40s, and I saw him play in Chicago. I saw him play in Wrigley Field in 1947, the first trip in. A friend of mine went down to the game, as we often did.
I must tell you, one thing I say about (Jackie), and against the Braves, even against the great players like (Warren) Spahn and (Lew) Burdette … he was the most electrifying player I’ve ever seen. He wasn’t the greatest player I’ve ever seen, but certainly a Hall of Famer. And think about this, what a great athlete he was. Didn’t get his chance in the big leagues until I believe he was 28. But in football, there were people who said he was better than Kenny Washington. Think about that. Kenny Washington was a great player, and he was just … it was remarkable what a great athlete he was.
SN: What else comes to mind?
BS: He took a lot of abuse, even in the service. You read the stories — and I’ve read every book on Jackie Robinson, and I’ve talked to (his wife) Rachel about it — about the trip in ’46 when he first went to get ready for the International League season, and how they had to ride buses and they were rejected out of homes they had to live in.
But think of the pressure on him, and because he made it, there was a Hank Aaron, who happens to be a very close friend of mine as you probably know, and Willie Mays and Bob Gibson and Willie Stargell and on and on and on. He really changed America in so many ways. To get an honor like this from the Jackie Robinson Foundation is very, very meaningful.
Ryan Fagan is a writer for Sporting News. E-mail him at rfagan@sportingnews.com, and follow him on Twitter at twitter.com/ryan_fagan.
Troy Tulowitzki, SS, Rockies
Colorado shortstop Troy Tulowitzki will likely be a pivotal player for fantasy owners who draft him in the second round this year. Looking at last season’s stats when Tulowitzki hit .297 with 32 home runs, 101 runs scored, 92 RBIs and 20 steals might make it seem like a no-brainer. However, despite excelling in 2009 and 2007, Tulowitzki’s down ’08 leaves a shadow of a doubt pertaining to his 2010 potential.
In ’08, he hit just .263 with eight homers, 46 RBIs, 48 runs and one stolen base. But he missed most of the first half of that season with a quadriceps injury and then suffered a hand laceration. Provided he’s healthy this year, Tulowitzki shouldn’t have a problem duplicating last year’s average and run production.
But can he repeat those 20 steals? That’s the final piece of the puzzle that made Tulowitzki an elite fantasy player last year. And, yes, it is the biggest question mark given that he was caught 11 times in ’09 and didn’t have a reputation of being speedy in the minors. If Tulowitzki manages to produce double-digit steals to go along with his power he’ll be well on his way to becoming the second-most valuable player (behind Hanley Ramirez) at a position that isn’t very deep this year.
Troy Tulowitzki, SS, Rockies
Colorado shortstop Troy Tulowitzki will likely be a pivotal player for fantasy owners who draft him in the second round this year. Looking at last season’s stats when Tulowitzki hit .297 with 32 home runs, 101 runs scored, 92 RBIs and 20 steals might make it seem like a no-brainer. However, despite excelling in 2009 and 2007, Tulowitzki’s down ’08 leaves a shadow of a doubt pertaining to his 2010 potential.
In ’08, he hit just .263 with eight homers, 46 RBIs, 48 runs and one stolen base. But he missed most of the first half of that season with a quadriceps injury and then suffered a hand laceration. Provided he’s healthy this year, Tulowitzki shouldn’t have a problem duplicating last year’s average and run production.
But can he repeat those 20 steals? That’s the final piece of the puzzle that made Tulowitzki an elite fantasy player last year. And, yes, it is the biggest question mark given that he was caught 11 times in ’09 and didn’t have a reputation of being speedy in the minors. If Tulowitzki manages to produce double-digit steals to go along with his power he’ll be well on his way to becoming the second-most valuable player (behind Hanley Ramirez) at a position that isn’t very deep this year.
The Cardinals weren’t projected to be the class of the NL Central last season when they won the division by 7 1/2 games before fizzling in the postseason. But after they spent $120 million on Matt Holliday to keep their lineup virtually intact, it will be a surprise if they finish anywhere but first this season. Even manager Tony La Russa, not one for hype, said, "We will be one of those clubs that has a chance. I like our core."
Chris Carpenter finished second in NL Cy Young voting in 2009.
Three questions
1. Where are the problem areas?
You have to look beneath the surface to find any weaknesses. Consider: The Cardinals have the game’s best player in Albert Pujols. They have the National League’s best catcher in Yadier Molina. They have what is arguably the NL’s best 1-2 rotation punch in Chris Carpenter and Adam Wainwright. They have a future Hall of Fame manager in La Russa.
If all that isn’t enough, they also have a top slugger in Holliday, an All-Star closer in Ryan Franklin and the resources to spend money for improvements during the season.
So what don’t they have? They lack experience at third base and depth in the outfield, and their bullpen isn’t as formidable as that of the Phillies — the only NL club that looks to be superior to St. Louis.
2. Who’s on third base?
This is the only position where the Cardinals won’t return their regular from the end of last season. Rookie David Freese is the front-runner. La Russa, however, doesn’t like to hand out jobs, especially to rookies. Freese’s main competition will come from a couple of other youngsters, Tyler Greene and Joe Mather, though the Cardinals could give utilityman Felipe Lopez a shot.
Freese was the projected starter at third when spring training ended last year, but he struggled early — partially because of injuries — and spent most of his season at Class AAA. He impressed enough in a brief late-season call-up to be deemed the favorite after the Cardinals opted not to re-sign Mark DeRosa or bring in another veteran.
3. Will the hitting coach be a distraction?
There will be times when Mark McGwire has to address the past again, such as when the Cardinals visit New York (July 27-29) and like he did recently when a book written by his brother rehashed the steroids issue. For the most part, however, McGwire has been able to focus on his new job during spring training.
When La Russa pushed Cardinals ownership to hire McGwire last fall, he admitted part of the reason was to get McGwire back in the game. La Russa, however, asserted that the main reason he wanted McGwire was because he believes the former slugger has the makeup and knowledge to be an effective hitting coach. Early signs out of Cardinals camp are that La Russa is correct. McGwire has gone about his job without a lot of fanfare.
Projected lineup
1. 2B Skip Schumaker: .307 AVG over past 3 seasons.
2. CF Colby Rasmus: .251 AVG, 16 HRs as rookie in ’09.
3. 1B Albert Pujols: As bonus, led club with 16 SBs.
4. LF Matt Holliday: Team-best .353 AVG, 55 RBIs, .604 SLG after arrival.
5. RF Ryan Ludwick: ’08: 37 HRs, .966 OPS; ’09: 22 HRs, .775 OPS.
6. C Yadier Molina: .366 OBP, 50 BBs, 39 K’s.
7. 3B David Freese: .323 AVG in 31 MLB at-bats last season.
8. SS Brendan Ryan: 23 of 37 RBIs came after break in breakout season.
Projected rotation
1. RHP Chris Carpenter: 17-4 with NL-best 2.24 ERA.
2. RHP Adam Wainwright: 19-8, 2.63 ERA, NL-best 233 IP.
3. RHP Kyle Lohse: Injuries a factor as ERA rose nearly a run from ’08.
4. RHP Brad Penny: 5.61 ERA in 24 starts with Red Sox; 2.59 in 5 starts with Giants.
5. RHP Kyle McClellan: 3.38 ERA as RP last season.
Projected closer
RHP Ryan Franklin: 1.05 ERA pre-September; finished at 1.92.
Grades
Offense: B. Pujols and Holliday give the Cardinals one of the majors’ top 3-4 tandems and Molina improves every season, but they aren’t that special elsewhere. St. Louis finished ninth in the NL in runs scored after the All-Star break last season. In 2010, the production of Ryan Ludwick, Skip Schumaker and Colby Rasmus will be key.
Pitching: A. Wainwright and Carpenter were the best 1-2 rotation punch in the game last season. Franklin leads a balanced bullpen that includes a couple of hard throwers in Mitchell Boggs and Blake Hawksworth. Brad Penny has the ingredients to be pitching coach Dave Duncan’s next success story.
Bench: B. Recent acquisition Felipe Lopez was second to Chase Utley in runs scored by NL second basemen last season, and he can play all over the infield. Julio Lugo also brings plenty of experience to the middle infield. There isn’t much experience in the outfield, however.
Manager: A. All of those pitching changes might rile some fans, but opposing managers consistently praise La Russa’s consistent approach and for never being caught off-guard. His players always are prepared to play, and you rarely (if ever) see an undisciplined player on the Cardinals.
Sporting News prediction: Any team with Pujols is a contender. Any team with Pujols, Holliday, Carpenter and Wainwright — as long as they’re healthy — is a clear choice to win the division. Beating Philadelphia, however, is another matter.
COMING TUESDAY: Cubs preview.
Stan McNeal is a writer for Sporting News. E-mail him at smcneal@sportingnews.com.
The Cardinals weren’t projected to be the class of the NL Central last season when they won the division by 7 1/2 games before fizzling in the postseason. But after they spent $120 million on Matt Holliday to keep their lineup virtually intact, it will be a surprise if they finish anywhere but first this season. Even manager Tony La Russa, not one for hype, said, "We will be one of those clubs that has a chance. I like our core."
Chris Carpenter finished second in NL Cy Young voting in 2009.
Three questions
1. Where are the problem areas?
You have to look beneath the surface to find any weaknesses. Consider: The Cardinals have the game’s best player in Albert Pujols. They have the National League’s best catcher in Yadier Molina. They have what is arguably the NL’s best 1-2 rotation punch in Chris Carpenter and Adam Wainwright. They have a future Hall of Fame manager in La Russa.
If all that isn’t enough, they also have a top slugger in Holliday, an All-Star closer in Ryan Franklin and the resources to spend money for improvements during the season.
So what don’t they have? They lack experience at third base and depth in the outfield, and their bullpen isn’t as formidable as that of the Phillies — the only NL club that looks to be superior to St. Louis.
2. Who’s on third base?
This is the only position where the Cardinals won’t return their regular from the end of last season. Rookie David Freese is the front-runner. La Russa, however, doesn’t like to hand out jobs, especially to rookies. Freese’s main competition will come from a couple of other youngsters, Tyler Greene and Joe Mather, though the Cardinals could give utilityman Felipe Lopez a shot.
Freese was the projected starter at third when spring training ended last year, but he struggled early — partially because of injuries — and spent most of his season at Class AAA. He impressed enough in a brief late-season call-up to be deemed the favorite after the Cardinals opted not to re-sign Mark DeRosa or bring in another veteran.
3. Will the hitting coach be a distraction?
There will be times when Mark McGwire has to address the past again, such as when the Cardinals visit New York (July 27-29) and like he did recently when a book written by his brother rehashed the steroids issue. For the most part, however, McGwire has been able to focus on his new job during spring training.
When La Russa pushed Cardinals ownership to hire McGwire last fall, he admitted part of the reason was to get McGwire back in the game. La Russa, however, asserted that the main reason he wanted McGwire was because he believes the former slugger has the makeup and knowledge to be an effective hitting coach. Early signs out of Cardinals camp are that La Russa is correct. McGwire has gone about his job without a lot of fanfare.
Projected lineup
1. 2B Skip Schumaker: .307 AVG over past 3 seasons.
2. CF Colby Rasmus: .251 AVG, 16 HRs as rookie in ’09.
3. 1B Albert Pujols: As bonus, led club with 16 SBs.
4. LF Matt Holliday: Team-best .353 AVG, 55 RBIs, .604 SLG after arrival.
5. RF Ryan Ludwick: ’08: 37 HRs, .966 OPS; ’09: 22 HRs, .775 OPS.
6. C Yadier Molina: .366 OBP, 50 BBs, 39 K’s.
7. 3B David Freese: .323 AVG in 31 MLB at-bats last season.
8. SS Brendan Ryan: 23 of 37 RBIs came after break in breakout season.
Projected rotation
1. RHP Chris Carpenter: 17-4 with NL-best 2.24 ERA.
2. RHP Adam Wainwright: 19-8, 2.63 ERA, NL-best 233 IP.
3. RHP Kyle Lohse: Injuries a factor as ERA rose nearly a run from ’08.
4. RHP Brad Penny: 5.61 ERA in 24 starts with Red Sox; 2.59 in 5 starts with Giants.
5. RHP Kyle McClellan: 3.38 ERA as RP last season.
Projected closer
RHP Ryan Franklin: 1.05 ERA pre-September; finished at 1.92.
Grades
Offense: B. Pujols and Holliday give the Cardinals one of the majors’ top 3-4 tandems and Molina improves every season, but they aren’t that special elsewhere. St. Louis finished ninth in the NL in runs scored after the All-Star break last season. In 2010, the production of Ryan Ludwick, Skip Schumaker and Colby Rasmus will be key.
Pitching: A. Wainwright and Carpenter were the best 1-2 rotation punch in the game last season. Franklin leads a balanced bullpen that includes a couple of hard throwers in Mitchell Boggs and Blake Hawksworth. Brad Penny has the ingredients to be pitching coach Dave Duncan’s next success story.
Bench: B. Recent acquisition Felipe Lopez was second to Chase Utley in runs scored by NL second basemen last season, and he can play all over the infield. Julio Lugo also brings plenty of experience to the middle infield. There isn’t much experience in the outfield, however.
Manager: A. All of those pitching changes might rile some fans, but opposing managers consistently praise La Russa’s consistent approach and for never being caught off-guard. His players always are prepared to play, and you rarely (if ever) see an undisciplined player on the Cardinals.
Sporting News prediction: Any team with Pujols is a contender. Any team with Pujols, Holliday, Carpenter and Wainwright — as long as they’re healthy — is a clear choice to win the division. Beating Philadelphia, however, is another matter.
COMING TUESDAY: Cubs preview.
Stan McNeal is a writer for Sporting News. E-mail him at smcneal@sportingnews.com.
Sporting News staff reports
Major League Baseball has fired three of its seven umpire supervisors in response to a postseason plagued by blown calls.
Marty Springstead, Rich Garcia and Jim McKean, all veterans of at least 40 years, were fired in January, according to USA Today. Retired umpires Randy Marsh and Charlie Reliford were hired as replacements. Ed Montague, a recently retired ump of 34 years, is a candidate to fill the other position.
Rob Manfred, MLB executive vice president, told USA Today, "The change in supervisors is part of our ongoing effort to make our organization as strong as possible."
According to the report, Springstead said the firings were directly related to last year’s playoffs. The umpires who made the questionable calls were all retained. In Game 2 of the ALDS, Phil Cuzzi incorrectly ruled a ball hit by Joe Mauer as foul, costing the Twins a double. Crew chief Tim McClellenand missed two key calls in Game 4 of the ALCS. He called Nick Swisher out on appeal for leaving third base too early, although replays showed that Swisher left after the ball was caught. He then called Robinson Cano safe on a rundown even though Cano was clearly standing off the base while getting tagged. One responsibility of the supervisors is to make recommendations to MLB for postseason crews.
Sporting News staff reports
Major League Baseball has fired three of its seven umpire supervisors in response to a postseason plagued by blown calls.
Marty Springstead, Rich Garcia and Jim McKean, all veterans of at least 40 years, were fired in January, according to USA Today. Retired umpires Randy Marsh and Charlie Reliford were hired as replacements. Ed Montague, a recently retired ump of 34 years, is a candidate to fill the other position.
Rob Manfred, MLB executive vice president, told USA Today, "The change in supervisors is part of our ongoing effort to make our organization as strong as possible."
According to the report, Springstead said the firings were directly related to last year’s playoffs. The umpires who made the questionable calls were all retained. In Game 2 of the ALDS, Phil Cuzzi incorrectly ruled a ball hit by Joe Mauer as foul, costing the Twins a double. Crew chief Tim McClellenand missed two key calls in Game 4 of the ALCS. He called Nick Swisher out on appeal for leaving third base too early, although replays showed that Swisher left after the ball was caught. He then called Robinson Cano safe on a rundown even though Cano was clearly standing off the base while getting tagged. One responsibility of the supervisors is to make recommendations to MLB for postseason crews.
By Chris Bahr and Jeff D’Alessio, Sporting News
Get ready for baseball’s first World Series rematch since Reggie Jackson’s Yankees beat Steve Garvey’s Dodgers in 1977 and ’78. We took our annual preseason rankings—featuring two familiar foes at the top— to 30 analysts and asked for their two cents.
Expect to see Charlie Manuel and Joe Girardi shaking hands again in October.
1. Yankees
Yankees TV analyst Ken Singleton says: "This is where the world champions belong. The main ingredient for the Yankees to repeat would be health, although they were able to win it all despite Alex Rodriguez playing in only 124 regular –season games. The outfield might not be as strong as others in the American League, but the addition of Curtis Granderson should bring some power and speed."
Phillies radio analyst Larry Andersen says: "No. 2? I truly believe the Phils have the ability to reclaim the title of world champs if Cole Hamels gets back close to where he was in the playoffs of 2008. Another key is Brad Lidge. The Phils won the NL with an obviously underperforming Lidge. The Yanks, once again, rode the arm of Mariano Rivera in the back of their ‘pen, and we know how that worked out for them."
MLB Network analyst Dan Plesac says: "Josh Beckett, Jon Lester and John Lackey give the Sox one of the best, if not the best, 1-2-3 starting punch. The outfield defense should greatly improve with Jacoby Ellsbury making the switch from center field to left and Mike Cameron patrolling center. If healthy, J.D. Drew also provides solid defense in right. Two key moves really solidify the defense in the infield—Adrian Beltre at third and Marco Scutaro at short. The Red Sox look to be formidable challengers to the mighty Bombers from the Big Apple."
Cardinals radio analyst Mike Shannon says: "That’s just about right. The starting pitching is the strongest in the league—adding Brad Penny is a tremendous plus—and the lineup is as good as anyone’s."
Rockies TV analyst Jeff Huson says: "Wow, finally getting some national recognition. The productive starting rotation will be enhanced with the return of a healthy Jeff Francis, who can win 15 to 17 (games) and fill the void of Jason Marquis. There is no question how good their defense will be. Todd Helton will hit .315. Troy Tulowitzki could be a 30-20 guy for the second straight year."
Hideki Matsui will be the Angels’ new DH.
6. Angels
Angels TV analyst Mark Gubicza says: "They have taken a hit with their No. 1 starter, leadoff man and No. 1 power threat all leaving via free agency, but the addition of Joel Pineiro and a full season of Scott Kazmir should give them the deepest five-man rotation in the division. Hideki Matsui gives them patience at the DH role. Erick Aybar continues to grow into a superstar and should do well in the leadoff role."
MLB Network analyst Joe Magrane says: "The Angels are weaker, and Texas is stronger. The concern for the Mariners: Where’s the thunder coming from? Will they be able to put runs on the board when they don’t pitch? Jack Zduriencik has put together a team of defense and pitching that tailors well to Safeco. Winning a division is about collecting series wins. Who wouldn’t want to take their chances with Cliff Lee and King Felix (Hernandez) toeing the slab in a three-game series?"
Rays TV analyst Kevin Kennedy says: "That’s about right. B.J. Upton is the key. If B.J. comes back and his shoulder is healthy, he is a very talented player. One through five in the rotation, they can compete with anybody."
Twins TV analyst Bert Blyleven says: "Fair. The question mark is the starting staff. I do not—and never will—like pitch counts, and the starters have to attack the strike zone early so they can get later into the game. If this doesn’t happen, the relievers will get worn out during the summer months in their new outdoor stadium."
The Cubs need Geovany Soto to bounce back.
10. Cubs
Cubs TV analyst Bob Brenly says: "Probably right where they should be. They need returns to form by Alfonso Soriano and Geovany Soto. Team chemistry should be much improved with no Milton Bradley."
Braves TV analyst Brian Jordan says: "This team can win the wild card. The Phillies might be the frontrunners in the division, but the Braves will challenge them if they can stay healthy and produce some offense—if Troy Glaus is healthy and drives in 80 to 90 runs and if Chipper Jones can stay on the field 150 games."
Dodgers TV analyst Steve Lyons says: "Pretty good, Sporting News. Matt Kemp and Andre Ethier will lead the team offensively unless Manny Ramirez was so embarrassed by last year that he comes on strong. The staff will be led by an older Clayton Kershaw; Chad Billingsley, who has to prove he has a heart; and Vicente Padilla, who will want to get paid more in the future."
Giants TV analyst Duane Kuiper says: "Thirteenth is pretty close. Remember, they won 88 games last year—more than any team that didn’t go to the playoffs. They have the same staff back , and their offense is improved. We’ll see if it’s enough."
White Sox TV analyst Steve Stone says: "They should be in the top 10. They were second in the American League in pitching last year with a 4.14 ERA, and adding Jake Peavy for a full year will make it even better. The back end of the bullpen, after adding J.J. Putz, matches anyone’s."
Rangers TV analyst Tom Grieve says: "Even though the offense was not up to its usual standards in 2009, the team improved dramatically because the pitching and defense were significantly better. While the West is getting much more competitive, the organization will be disappointed if the team doesn’t return to the postseason for the first time (since 1999)."
Justin Verlander gives the Tigers a legitimate ace.
16. Tigers
Tigers TV analyst Rod Allen says: "A tad too low. Justin Verlander is going to be in the Cy Young conversation for years to come; then you have Rick Porcello. If they get a lot out of Max Scherzer, they could be one of the top three rotations in baseball. In the bullpen, they’ve added Jose Valverde. Miguel Cabrera has his problems behind him; he’ll be an MVP candidate."
Mets TV analyst Ralph Kiner says: "This is going to be a difficult season. They don’t have any wellknown, qualified starting pitchers other than Johan Santana. Our catching is a question mark, and we don’t have power at first base."
Marlins TV analyst Tommy Hutton says: "I don’t have too much of a problem with the Marlins sitting at No. 18, but I fell off my chair when I saw the Mets were 17th. Over the last seven years, the Marlins have won more games than the Mets—and have spent $600 million less during that stretch."
Brewers TV analyst Bill Schroeder says: "The Brewers are every bit as good as the Cubs. General manager Doug Melvin addressed the starting pitching issue, and the bullpen depth is the best it’s ever been. They’re going to miss Mike Cameron offensively; it’s all going to come down to how Carlos Gomez does in center, getting on base."
Diamondbacks radio analyst Tom Candiotti says: "Three reasons the Diamondbacks will be much better than this: Brandon Webb has been throwing pain-free and is incredibly motivated to return to his Cy Young form; Chris Young had a killer September after making huge adjustments in his swing; and a healthy Conor Jackson adds stability and a professional bat in the middle of a very potent lineup."
A’s TV/radio analyst Ray Fosse says: "The A’s could surprise many people. Because of great pitching and defense, the offense should not have to outslug other teams to win. The starters can go six innings and turn the game over to several quality setup men to get to Andrew Bailey. There will be three center fielders playing in the outfield."
Johnny Cueto won 11 games for the Reds in 2009.
22. Reds
Reds TV analyst Chris Welsh says: "Johnny Cueto and Homer Bailey match well with walk-year veterans Aaron Harang and Bronson Arroyo. They have a solid bullpen and a tight infield, but it will take an MVP-caliber year from Joey Votto or Brandon Phillips to jolt them into the top 10."
Astros TV analyst Jim Deshaies says: "I’m a bit more bullish on this team. Here’s how they surprise: Roy Oswalt and Lance Berkman bounce back. Will they score enough? Hunter Pence may be the key. A monster year might push the Astros closer to the top."
Orioles TV analyst Jim Palmer says: "They ought to be a better club. But it’s difficult to project how that will translate into wins if you play in the AL East. They’ve helped themselves. They needed a third baseman, they got (Miguel Tejada). They needed a first baseman, they got (Garrett Atkins). And they got Kevin Millwood."
Blue Jays TV analyst Pat Tabler says: "This team will finish in the bottom 20 percent of baseball. The reason: Who will pick up the slack in the starting rotation after the trade of Roy Halladay?"
Royals TV analyst Paul Splittorff says: "You don’t have us too low. For this to be a good year, they need to clean up the fundamental play. Situational hitting last year was bad, baserunning was awful, and defense was an absolute killer. They need to increase their on-base percentage and be better at advancing runners."
Ryan Zimmerman won the Gold Glove and Silver Slugger at third base in 2009.
27. Nationals
Nationals TV analyst Rob Dibble says: "They have addressed almost every need—Jason Marquis, Brian Bruney and Matt Capps to help the pitching staff ; future Hall of Famer Ivan Rodriguez to call games and help Jesus Flores develop; Adam Kennedy at second base. Will they finish 27th? No way. I think the Nats are three wins better per month this season. That’s 77."
Padres TV analyst Mark Grant says: "With Adrian Gonzalez in the lineup and the younger guys … this team could hover around the middle of the pack. It’s about winning games, not about how many runs you score. The bullpen was nails last year; if the starters can pitch deep into games and bridge that gap to Heath Bell, the Padres won’t have to score an abundance of runs."
Pirates TV/radio analyst John Wehner says: "I don’t believe they are the second-to-worst team in baseball. The one thing they have is pitching. The rotation is not a group that is well-known nationwide, but the top four all have had impressive stretches in their short careers. The question mark is the offense."
Indians radio analyst Mike Hegan says: "No. 30 may be warranted, but there is enough talent for the Indians to jump to the middle of the pack—or better—if: Jake Westbrook and Fausto Carmona have solid seasons; Chris Perez, Rafael Perez, Tony Sipp and others set up Kerry Wood; and Grady Sizemore and Travis Hafner come back from injuries."
This story first appeared in the March 1 edition of Sporting News magazine. If you are not receiving the magazine, subscribe today, or pick up a copy, available at most Barnes & Noble, Borders and Hudson Retail outlets.
By Chris Bahr and Jeff D’Alessio, Sporting News
Get ready for baseball’s first World Series rematch since Reggie Jackson’s Yankees beat Steve Garvey’s Dodgers in 1977 and ’78. We took our annual preseason rankings—featuring two familiar foes at the top— to 30 analysts and asked for their two cents.
Expect to see Charlie Manuel and Joe Girardi shaking hands again in October.
1. Yankees
Yankees TV analyst Ken Singleton says: "This is where the world champions belong. The main ingredient for the Yankees to repeat would be health, although they were able to win it all despite Alex Rodriguez playing in only 124 regular –season games. The outfield might not be as strong as others in the American League, but the addition of Curtis Granderson should bring some power and speed."
Phillies radio analyst Larry Andersen says: "No. 2? I truly believe the Phils have the ability to reclaim the title of world champs if Cole Hamels gets back close to where he was in the playoffs of 2008. Another key is Brad Lidge. The Phils won the NL with an obviously underperforming Lidge. The Yanks, once again, rode the arm of Mariano Rivera in the back of their ‘pen, and we know how that worked out for them."
MLB Network analyst Dan Plesac says: "Josh Beckett, Jon Lester and John Lackey give the Sox one of the best, if not the best, 1-2-3 starting punch. The outfield defense should greatly improve with Jacoby Ellsbury making the switch from center field to left and Mike Cameron patrolling center. If healthy, J.D. Drew also provides solid defense in right. Two key moves really solidify the defense in the infield—Adrian Beltre at third and Marco Scutaro at short. The Red Sox look to be formidable challengers to the mighty Bombers from the Big Apple."
Cardinals radio analyst Mike Shannon says: "That’s just about right. The starting pitching is the strongest in the league—adding Brad Penny is a tremendous plus—and the lineup is as good as anyone’s."
Rockies TV analyst Jeff Huson says: "Wow, finally getting some national recognition. The productive starting rotation will be enhanced with the return of a healthy Jeff Francis, who can win 15 to 17 (games) and fill the void of Jason Marquis. There is no question how good their defense will be. Todd Helton will hit .315. Troy Tulowitzki could be a 30-20 guy for the second straight year."
Hideki Matsui will be the Angels’ new DH.
6. Angels
Angels TV analyst Mark Gubicza says: "They have taken a hit with their No. 1 starter, leadoff man and No. 1 power threat all leaving via free agency, but the addition of Joel Pineiro and a full season of Scott Kazmir should give them the deepest five-man rotation in the division. Hideki Matsui gives them patience at the DH role. Erick Aybar continues to grow into a superstar and should do well in the leadoff role."
MLB Network analyst Joe Magrane says: "The Angels are weaker, and Texas is stronger. The concern for the Mariners: Where’s the thunder coming from? Will they be able to put runs on the board when they don’t pitch? Jack Zduriencik has put together a team of defense and pitching that tailors well to Safeco. Winning a division is about collecting series wins. Who wouldn’t want to take their chances with Cliff Lee and King Felix (Hernandez) toeing the slab in a three-game series?"
Rays TV analyst Kevin Kennedy says: "That’s about right. B.J. Upton is the key. If B.J. comes back and his shoulder is healthy, he is a very talented player. One through five in the rotation, they can compete with anybody."
Twins TV analyst Bert Blyleven says: "Fair. The question mark is the starting staff. I do not—and never will—like pitch counts, and the starters have to attack the strike zone early so they can get later into the game. If this doesn’t happen, the relievers will get worn out during the summer months in their new outdoor stadium."
The Cubs need Geovany Soto to bounce back.
10. Cubs
Cubs TV analyst Bob Brenly says: "Probably right where they should be. They need returns to form by Alfonso Soriano and Geovany Soto. Team chemistry should be much improved with no Milton Bradley."
Braves TV analyst Brian Jordan says: "This team can win the wild card. The Phillies might be the frontrunners in the division, but the Braves will challenge them if they can stay healthy and produce some offense—if Troy Glaus is healthy and drives in 80 to 90 runs and if Chipper Jones can stay on the field 150 games."
Dodgers TV analyst Steve Lyons says: "Pretty good, Sporting News. Matt Kemp and Andre Ethier will lead the team offensively unless Manny Ramirez was so embarrassed by last year that he comes on strong. The staff will be led by an older Clayton Kershaw; Chad Billingsley, who has to prove he has a heart; and Vicente Padilla, who will want to get paid more in the future."
Giants TV analyst Duane Kuiper says: "Thirteenth is pretty close. Remember, they won 88 games last year—more than any team that didn’t go to the playoffs. They have the same staff back , and their offense is improved. We’ll see if it’s enough."
White Sox TV analyst Steve Stone says: "They should be in the top 10. They were second in the American League in pitching last year with a 4.14 ERA, and adding Jake Peavy for a full year will make it even better. The back end of the bullpen, after adding J.J. Putz, matches anyone’s."
Rangers TV analyst Tom Grieve says: "Even though the offense was not up to its usual standards in 2009, the team improved dramatically because the pitching and defense were significantly better. While the West is getting much more competitive, the organization will be disappointed if the team doesn’t return to the postseason for the first time (since 1999)."
Justin Verlander gives the Tigers a legitimate ace.
16. Tigers
Tigers TV analyst Rod Allen says: "A tad too low. Justin Verlander is going to be in the Cy Young conversation for years to come; then you have Rick Porcello. If they get a lot out of Max Scherzer, they could be one of the top three rotations in baseball. In the bullpen, they’ve added Jose Valverde. Miguel Cabrera has his problems behind him; he’ll be an MVP candidate."
Mets TV analyst Ralph Kiner says: "This is going to be a difficult season. They don’t have any wellknown, qualified starting pitchers other than Johan Santana. Our catching is a question mark, and we don’t have power at first base."
Marlins TV analyst Tommy Hutton says: "I don’t have too much of a problem with the Marlins sitting at No. 18, but I fell off my chair when I saw the Mets were 17th. Over the last seven years, the Marlins have won more games than the Mets—and have spent $600 million less during that stretch."
Brewers TV analyst Bill Schroeder says: "The Brewers are every bit as good as the Cubs. General manager Doug Melvin addressed the starting pitching issue, and the bullpen depth is the best it’s ever been. They’re going to miss Mike Cameron offensively; it’s all going to come down to how Carlos Gomez does in center, getting on base."
Diamondbacks radio analyst Tom Candiotti says: "Three reasons the Diamondbacks will be much better than this: Brandon Webb has been throwing pain-free and is incredibly motivated to return to his Cy Young form; Chris Young had a killer September after making huge adjustments in his swing; and a healthy Conor Jackson adds stability and a professional bat in the middle of a very potent lineup."
A’s TV/radio analyst Ray Fosse says: "The A’s could surprise many people. Because of great pitching and defense, the offense should not have to outslug other teams to win. The starters can go six innings and turn the game over to several quality setup men to get to Andrew Bailey. There will be three center fielders playing in the outfield."
Johnny Cueto won 11 games for the Reds in 2009.
22. Reds
Reds TV analyst Chris Welsh says: "Johnny Cueto and Homer Bailey match well with walk-year veterans Aaron Harang and Bronson Arroyo. They have a solid bullpen and a tight infield, but it will take an MVP-caliber year from Joey Votto or Brandon Phillips to jolt them into the top 10."
Astros TV analyst Jim Deshaies says: "I’m a bit more bullish on this team. Here’s how they surprise: Roy Oswalt and Lance Berkman bounce back. Will they score enough? Hunter Pence may be the key. A monster year might push the Astros closer to the top."
Orioles TV analyst Jim Palmer says: "They ought to be a better club. But it’s difficult to project how that will translate into wins if you play in the AL East. They’ve helped themselves. They needed a third baseman, they got (Miguel Tejada). They needed a first baseman, they got (Garrett Atkins). And they got Kevin Millwood."
Blue Jays TV analyst Pat Tabler says: "This team will finish in the bottom 20 percent of baseball. The reason: Who will pick up the slack in the starting rotation after the trade of Roy Halladay?"
Royals TV analyst Paul Splittorff says: "You don’t have us too low. For this to be a good year, they need to clean up the fundamental play. Situational hitting last year was bad, baserunning was awful, and defense was an absolute killer. They need to increase their on-base percentage and be better at advancing runners."
Ryan Zimmerman won the Gold Glove and Silver Slugger at third base in 2009.
27. Nationals
Nationals TV analyst Rob Dibble says: "They have addressed almost every need—Jason Marquis, Brian Bruney and Matt Capps to help the pitching staff ; future Hall of Famer Ivan Rodriguez to call games and help Jesus Flores develop; Adam Kennedy at second base. Will they finish 27th? No way. I think the Nats are three wins better per month this season. That’s 77."
Padres TV analyst Mark Grant says: "With Adrian Gonzalez in the lineup and the younger guys … this team could hover around the middle of the pack. It’s about winning games, not about how many runs you score. The bullpen was nails last year; if the starters can pitch deep into games and bridge that gap to Heath Bell, the Padres won’t have to score an abundance of runs."
Pirates TV/radio analyst John Wehner says: "I don’t believe they are the second-to-worst team in baseball. The one thing they have is pitching. The rotation is not a group that is well-known nationwide, but the top four all have had impressive stretches in their short careers. The question mark is the offense."
Indians radio analyst Mike Hegan says: "No. 30 may be warranted, but there is enough talent for the Indians to jump to the middle of the pack—or better—if: Jake Westbrook and Fausto Carmona have solid seasons; Chris Perez, Rafael Perez, Tony Sipp and others set up Kerry Wood; and Grady Sizemore and Travis Hafner come back from injuries."
This story first appeared in the March 1 edition of Sporting News magazine. If you are not receiving the magazine, subscribe today, or pick up a copy, available at most Barnes & Noble, Borders and Hudson Retail outlets.
