This is the third in a series of position-by-position analyses of the best players who may be available on the NFL’s open market when free agency opens on March 5:
Safeties first
What do Nick Collins, Antoine Bethea and O.J. Atogwe have in common? They all stand 5-11, they’re all playmakers in their primes, and unfortunately for teams hungry for such safeties, they all will be restricted free agents.
The top prize is Collins, who has 13 interceptions over the past two seasons. Considering his talent and Green Bay’s secondary concerns, the team should consider locking him up beyond 2010.
Bethea, whose strong tackling helped the Colts overcome the loss of Bob Sanders, will be back in Indianapolis.
The most "available" of this trio is Atogwe, one of the few bright spots on the Rams’ defense. The team desperately needs draft help and may move him for the right offer of picks.
The corner market
Like the Packers with Collins, it would be wise for the Panthers to give similarly restricted cornerback Richard Marshall a long-term deal. Former Jaguars and Rams wide receiver Torry Holt, a seven-time Pro Bowler, thinks Marshall has All-Pro potential. "He has it all," Holt said. "He’s a very physical, strong guy who likes contact."
Holt compares Marshall, who had 88 tackles and four interceptions last season, to a bigger, faster version of Antoine Winfield who can both cover and play the run.
Unrestricted free agent cornerback Leigh Bodden is capable of huge games.
While Marshall has the most upside and is the least available, the Patriots’ Leigh Bodden and the Texans’ Dunta Robinson are both unrestricted.
Bodden, with his size (6-1, 193) and long arms, is attractive for a team that plays a lot of zone and off coverage. He can explode for big games. During his first season in New England, three of his five interceptions came in one game, against the Jets’ Mark Sanchez.
Robinson’s assets are his speed and quickness, but his playmaking ability was limited in Houston, where he was consistently matched up with the opponent’s best receiver. He can also move inside to play nickel.
"If there’s a weakness, it’s that he’s susceptible to double moves against receivers with a suddenness to their routes," Holt said.
Restricted Redskin Carlos Rogers is a bit like Robinson: a tantalizing talent without the numbers to back it up.
"He’s another guy who can solidify a secondary," Holt said. "I would like to see his physical abilities translate to more plays. His 24 passes defensed (in 2008) shows he can get to the ball; he just need to take better advantage."
Still sharp
If there’s proof that a smart one-year deal for an accomplished veteran can pay off, Darren Sharper is it. At 34, playing in aggressive scheme that was a perfect fit for his ballhawking style, his best season was a key part of the Saints’ Super Bowl success.
Sharper was a steal at $1.7 million, and with New Orleans deciding not to tag him as its franchise player, other contenders looking for an instant impact have a shot at getting him, especially if he gets signed past ’10.
Same division, same skills
Teams may not be able to land a top-flight playmaking safety on the open market, but if they look to the AFC North, they can find two strong 3-4 run supporters in the Steelers’ Ryan Clark and the Ravens’ Dawan Landry. "They’re really very similar players," said an NFC team’s scout. "They are both solid tacklers who aren’t as good in coverage."
Clark is unrestricted, and although Landry is not, the Ravens may not tender him because of their potential depth at his position.
Value and versatility
Because the cover-2 requires cornerbacks to play so much zone coverage, those who play in that scheme need to have good lateral range and upfield instincts. The Colts’ Marlin Jackson fits that mold, making him a versatile option further down the list.
Teams who can look past his injury woes — he is coming off knee surgery — might be able to get two players in one.
"He is one of those corner/safety hybrids," Holt said. "If it’s not Indy, he could help a lot of teams."
The top 10 …
1. Nick Collins, S, Packers*
2. Antoine Bethea, S, Colts*
3. O.J. Atogwe, S, Rams*
4. Richard Marshall, CB, Panthers*
5. Darren Sharper, S, Saints (UFA)
6. Leigh Bodden, CB, Patriots (UFA)
7. Dunta Robinson, CB, Texans (UFA)
8. Roman Harper, S, Saints*
9. Ryan Clark, S, Steelers (UFA)
10. Dawan Landry, S, Ravens*
UFA=will become unrestricted free agent on March 5
*-will be restricted free agent with lack of CBA
… And one more to watch
Nate Clements, CB, 49ers: Clements hasn’t lived up to the eight-year, $80 million deal he signed three years ago, as his speed and durability have let him down. Coming off a broken bone in his right shoulder, he is an experienced cover man who might be better off at safety. If the 49ers are looking to get younger in the secondary, he might get released.
Vinnie Iyer is a writer for Sporting News. E-mail him at viyer@sportingnews.com.
This is the third in a series of position-by-position analyses of the best players who may be available on the NFL’s open market when free agency opens on March 5:
Safeties first
What do Nick Collins, Antoine Bethea and O.J. Atogwe have in common? They all stand 5-11, they’re all playmakers in their primes, and unfortunately for teams hungry for such safeties, they all will be restricted free agents.
The top prize is Collins, who has 13 interceptions over the past two seasons. Considering his talent and Green Bay’s secondary concerns, the team should consider locking him up beyond 2010.
Bethea, whose strong tackling helped the Colts overcome the loss of Bob Sanders, will be back in Indianapolis.
The most "available" of this trio is Atogwe, one of the few bright spots on the Rams’ defense. The team desperately needs draft help and may move him for the right offer of picks.
The corner market
Like the Packers with Collins, it would be wise for the Panthers to give similarly restricted cornerback Richard Marshall a long-term deal. Former Jaguars and Rams wide receiver Torry Holt, a seven-time Pro Bowler, thinks Marshall has All-Pro potential. "He has it all," Holt said. "He’s a very physical, strong guy who likes contact."
Holt compares Marshall, who had 88 tackles and four interceptions last season, to a bigger, faster version of Antoine Winfield who can both cover and play the run.
Unrestricted free agent cornerback Leigh Bodden is capable of huge games.
While Marshall has the most upside and is the least available, the Patriots’ Leigh Bodden and the Texans’ Dunta Robinson are both unrestricted.
Bodden, with his size (6-1, 193) and long arms, is attractive for a team that plays a lot of zone and off coverage. He can explode for big games. During his first season in New England, three of his five interceptions came in one game, against the Jets’ Mark Sanchez.
Robinson’s assets are his speed and quickness, but his playmaking ability was limited in Houston, where he was consistently matched up with the opponent’s best receiver. He can also move inside to play nickel.
"If there’s a weakness, it’s that he’s susceptible to double moves against receivers with a suddenness to their routes," Holt said.
Restricted Redskin Carlos Rogers is a bit like Robinson: a tantalizing talent without the numbers to back it up.
"He’s another guy who can solidify a secondary," Holt said. "I would like to see his physical abilities translate to more plays. His 24 passes defensed (in 2008) shows he can get to the ball; he just need to take better advantage."
Still sharp
If there’s proof that a smart one-year deal for an accomplished veteran can pay off, Darren Sharper is it. At 34, playing in aggressive scheme that was a perfect fit for his ballhawking style, his best season was a key part of the Saints’ Super Bowl success.
Sharper was a steal at $1.7 million, and with New Orleans deciding not to tag him as its franchise player, other contenders looking for an instant impact have a shot at getting him, especially if he gets signed past ’10.
Same division, same skills
Teams may not be able to land a top-flight playmaking safety on the open market, but if they look to the AFC North, they can find two strong 3-4 run supporters in the Steelers’ Ryan Clark and the Ravens’ Dawan Landry. "They’re really very similar players," said an NFC team’s scout. "They are both solid tacklers who aren’t as good in coverage."
Clark is unrestricted, and although Landry is not, the Ravens may not tender him because of their potential depth at his position.
Value and versatility
Because the cover-2 requires cornerbacks to play so much zone coverage, those who play in that scheme need to have good lateral range and upfield instincts. The Colts’ Marlin Jackson fits that mold, making him a versatile option further down the list.
Teams who can look past his injury woes — he is coming off knee surgery — might be able to get two players in one.
"He is one of those corner/safety hybrids," Holt said. "If it’s not Indy, he could help a lot of teams."
The top 10 …
1. Nick Collins, S, Packers*
2. Antoine Bethea, S, Colts*
3. O.J. Atogwe, S, Rams*
4. Richard Marshall, CB, Panthers*
5. Darren Sharper, S, Saints (UFA)
6. Leigh Bodden, CB, Patriots (UFA)
7. Dunta Robinson, CB, Texans (UFA)
8. Roman Harper, S, Saints*
9. Ryan Clark, S, Steelers (UFA)
10. Dawan Landry, S, Ravens*
UFA=will become unrestricted free agent on March 5
*-will be restricted free agent with lack of CBA
… And one more to watch
Nate Clements, CB, 49ers: Clements hasn’t lived up to the eight-year, $80 million deal he signed three years ago, as his speed and durability have let him down. Coming off a broken bone in his right shoulder, he is an experienced cover man who might be better off at safety. If the 49ers are looking to get younger in the secondary, he might get released.
Vinnie Iyer is a writer for Sporting News. E-mail him at viyer@sportingnews.com.
This is the second in a series of position-by-position analyses of the best players who may be available on the NFL’s open market when free agency opens on March 5.
The Peppers game
As the Panthers’ franchise player last season, Julius Peppers made $16.7 million. Based on his production from 2009, that turned out to be about $1.6 million per sack. Unlikely to be tagged again (UPDATE: Reports Monday night said he won’t be) and back on the open market, he’ll command a contract that rivals that of some top quarterbacks.
With Julius Peppers all but done in Charlotte, teams must balance concerns over his price tag with his productivity.
In addition to his price tag, there are other concerns about Peppers. Critics have often questioned whether he plays with the same drive on every snap.
Although Peppers has said he’s flexible to a move to 3-4 outside linebacker, there is a concern if he can be effective in that role.
Former NFL defensive lineman Marcellus Wiley, an ESPN analyst, thinks Peppers, at 6-7, 283 and a former basketball player, has athleticism to do very well, but that’s only part of the equation.
"You never how that will translate into coverage," and "It’s a lot different when you’re one-on-one with backs or tight ends."
The Patriots have been a popular rumored suitor, even though a splashy, expensive acquisition hasn’t been their typical offseason approach.
A good nose is hard to find
There’s a big reason the Patriots and Steelers enjoyed great play from their three-man fronts over the past decade: They both have had strong, consistent nose tackles in Vince Wilfork and Casey Hampton.
Wilfork, Hampton and 49ers rising star Aubrayo Frankllin are all set to get tagged as franchise players, and there’s a chance another 3-4 nose tackle, Green Bay’s Ryan Pickett also gets that designation.
With so many other teams joining the Packers in a recent switch to a three-man front — such as Denver, Miami and now Buffalo — it’s become all the more important to lock up that interior linchpin.
"When teams find that nose tackle, they tend to not let him go," said an NFC team’s director of pro personnel. "It’s such a rare commodity and a hard position to fill."
Because of that, it may leave teams like the Dolphins hoping they can convert a solid 4-3 Tackle — such as the the Giants’ Barry Cofield — into a nose.
Do the hustle
If a team is looking for a high-effort, experienced pass rusher, and it can look past age and previous knee injuries, there is short-term help available.
| Free agency at a glance |
| Franchise tag deadline: Feb. 25 |
| Free agency begins: March 5 |
| Unrestricted: A player with six or more years of continuous NFL service |
| Restricted: A player with three years of continuous NFL service |
| CBA: Fourth- and fifth-year players will become "restricted’ free agents unless there is a new collective bargaining agreement in place by March 5 |
Aaron Kampman is coming off a tough year in Green Bay. The transition from 4-3 end to 3-4 outside linebacker didn’t suit the strengths of the two-time double-digit sack producer, and a torn ACL cut short his season after nine games. At 30, he’d be best back at end, where he can fight hard to get upfield and not worry about coverage.
"There’s a comfort level there that comes with confidence," Wiley said of Kampman. "He’s obviously familiar with rushing the quarterback well in a 4-3."
For a slightly older option, there’s Kampman’s fellow Iowan Kyle Vanden Bosch, 31. Like Kampman, Vanden Bosch always hustles and can still contribute well to a team with an aggressive scheme.
It’s OK to stay, Ray
One of the most frustrated free agents among those affected by the players-owners rift is Vikings end Ray Edwards. Only 25, Edwards may not be able to cash in the way he would like for the long term after a breakthrough career-high 8 ½ -sack fourth season.
Although Edwards likely won’t get to take on the challenge of trying to succeed away from Minnesota’s front four, remaining another year in a favorable situation may end up boosting his value in 2011.
"Few young linemen ever get a chance to play along with players such as Jared Allen, Pat Williams and Kevin Williams," Wiley said. "He’s better off staying put with that defensive line and improving over another season."
The top 10
1. Vince Wilfork DT, Patriots (F)
2. Julius Peppers DE, Panthers (UFA)
3. Ray Edwards DE, Vikings*
4. Marcus Spears DE, Cowboys*
5. Aaron Kampman DE, Packers (UFA)
6. Aubrayo Franklin DT, 49ers (F)
7. Richard Seymour DE, Raiders (F)
8. Casey Hampton DE, Steelers (F)
9. Barry Cofield DT, Giants*
10. Kyle Vanden Bosch DE, Titans (UFA)
UFA=will be an unrestricted free agent
*=will be restricted without new CBA
And one more to watch
DT Shaun Rogers, Browns
He’s 30, and with his massive, 6-4, 350-pound frame, he tends to wear down late in games, which limits his snaps. But when he’s on the field against the run, he eats up plenty of space. If he doesn’t move to end in Cleveland, he might be moved for a high draft pick.
A means to a 3-4 end
For the many teams using a 3-4 defense, it’s not easy finding that big nose tackle or a top-flight edge pass rusher at outside linebacker. Luckily, another specialty player is created by that front, the tackle-like, blocker-absorbing end.
The best of that group, Marcus Spears, will be back with the Cowboys, but options set to hit the market include the Jets’ Marques Douglas, the Patriots’ Jarvis Green and the Ravens’ Dwan Edwards.
Vinnie Iyer is a writer for Sporting News. E-mail him at viyer@sportingnews.com.
This is the second in a series of position-by-position analyses of the best players who may be available on the NFL’s open market when free agency opens on March 5.
The Peppers game
As the Panthers’ franchise player last season, Julius Peppers made $16.7 million. Based on his production from 2009, that turned out to be about $1.6 million per sack. Unlikely to be tagged again (UPDATE: Reports Monday night said he won’t be) and back on the open market, he’ll command a contract that rivals that of some top quarterbacks.
With Julius Peppers all but done in Charlotte, teams must balance concerns over his price tag with his productivity.
In addition to his price tag, there are other concerns about Peppers. Critics have often questioned whether he plays with the same drive on every snap.
Although Peppers has said he’s flexible to a move to 3-4 outside linebacker, there is a concern if he can be effective in that role.
Former NFL defensive lineman Marcellus Wiley, an ESPN analyst, thinks Peppers, at 6-7, 283 and a former basketball player, has athleticism to do very well, but that’s only part of the equation.
"You never how that will translate into coverage," and "It’s a lot different when you’re one-on-one with backs or tight ends."
The Patriots have been a popular rumored suitor, even though a splashy, expensive acquisition hasn’t been their typical offseason approach.
A good nose is hard to find
There’s a big reason the Patriots and Steelers enjoyed great play from their three-man fronts over the past decade: They both have had strong, consistent nose tackles in Vince Wilfork and Casey Hampton.
Wilfork, Hampton and 49ers rising star Aubrayo Frankllin are all set to get tagged as franchise players, and there’s a chance another 3-4 nose tackle, Green Bay’s Ryan Pickett also gets that designation.
With so many other teams joining the Packers in a recent switch to a three-man front — such as Denver, Miami and now Buffalo — it’s become all the more important to lock up that interior linchpin.
"When teams find that nose tackle, they tend to not let him go," said an NFC team’s director of pro personnel. "It’s such a rare commodity and a hard position to fill."
Because of that, it may leave teams like the Dolphins hoping they can convert a solid 4-3 Tackle — such as the the Giants’ Barry Cofield — into a nose.
Do the hustle
If a team is looking for a high-effort, experienced pass rusher, and it can look past age and previous knee injuries, there is short-term help available.
| Free agency at a glance |
| Franchise tag deadline: Feb. 25 |
| Free agency begins: March 5 |
| Unrestricted: A player with six or more years of continuous NFL service |
| Restricted: A player with three years of continuous NFL service |
| CBA: Fourth- and fifth-year players will become "restricted’ free agents unless there is a new collective bargaining agreement in place by March 5 |
Aaron Kampman is coming off a tough year in Green Bay. The transition from 4-3 end to 3-4 outside linebacker didn’t suit the strengths of the two-time double-digit sack producer, and a torn ACL cut short his season after nine games. At 30, he’d be best back at end, where he can fight hard to get upfield and not worry about coverage.
"There’s a comfort level there that comes with confidence," Wiley said of Kampman. "He’s obviously familiar with rushing the quarterback well in a 4-3."
For a slightly older option, there’s Kampman’s fellow Iowan Kyle Vanden Bosch, 31. Like Kampman, Vanden Bosch always hustles and can still contribute well to a team with an aggressive scheme.
It’s OK to stay, Ray
One of the most frustrated free agents among those affected by the players-owners rift is Vikings end Ray Edwards. Only 25, Edwards may not be able to cash in the way he would like for the long term after a breakthrough career-high 8 ½ -sack fourth season.
Although Edwards likely won’t get to take on the challenge of trying to succeed away from Minnesota’s front four, remaining another year in a favorable situation may end up boosting his value in 2011.
"Few young linemen ever get a chance to play along with players such as Jared Allen, Pat Williams and Kevin Williams," Wiley said. "He’s better off staying put with that defensive line and improving over another season."
The top 10
1. Vince Wilfork DT, Patriots (F)
2. Julius Peppers DE, Panthers (UFA)
3. Ray Edwards DE, Vikings*
4. Marcus Spears DE, Cowboys*
5. Aaron Kampman DE, Packers (UFA)
6. Aubrayo Franklin DT, 49ers (F)
7. Richard Seymour DE, Raiders (F)
8. Casey Hampton DE, Steelers (F)
9. Barry Cofield DT, Giants*
10. Kyle Vanden Bosch DE, Titans (UFA)
UFA=will be an unrestricted free agent
*=will be restricted without new CBA
And one more to watch
DT Shaun Rogers, Browns
He’s 30, and with his massive, 6-4, 350-pound frame, he tends to wear down late in games, which limits his snaps. But when he’s on the field against the run, he eats up plenty of space. If he doesn’t move to end in Cleveland, he might be moved for a high draft pick.
A means to a 3-4 end
For the many teams using a 3-4 defense, it’s not easy finding that big nose tackle or a top-flight edge pass rusher at outside linebacker. Luckily, another specialty player is created by that front, the tackle-like, blocker-absorbing end.
The best of that group, Marcus Spears, will be back with the Cowboys, but options set to hit the market include the Jets’ Marques Douglas, the Patriots’ Jarvis Green and the Ravens’ Dwan Edwards.
Vinnie Iyer is a writer for Sporting News. E-mail him at viyer@sportingnews.com.
This is the first in a series of position-by-position analyses of the best players who might be available on the NFL’s open market when free agency opens March 5:
The top prize
The best job description to encompass everything Cardinals inside linebacker Karlos Dansby does on the field is "playmaker." Whether working out of a 3-4 or 4-3 front, he excels at playing the run and covering backs and tight ends. Even though his sack totals have diminished since moving from the outside, he still can disrupt the pocket.
He also makes plays when they count most, leading the defense’s success in Arizona’s drive to Super Bowl 43 and producing the game-winning touchdown in this year’s overtime playoff shootout with Green Bay.
This offseason, the Cardinals, unlike the past two years, will not designate him as their "franchise" player, making Dansby, only 28, a hot commodity at a high price.
NFL scouts say Dansby has the fewest holes of any free agent this year.
A 1-2 3-4 outside punch
Free agency would be a lot more interesting—especially for 3-4 teams looking for a dominant pass rusher (Miami, New England)—if Denver’s Elvis Dumervil, the 2009 NFL leader in sacks with 17, wasn’t restricted as a result of the league’s lack of collective bargaining agreement.
| The top 10 |
| 1. Elvis Dumervil, OLB, Broncos* |
| 2. Karlos Dansby, ILB, Cardinals (UFA) |
| 3. DeMeco Ryans, ILB, Texans* |
| 4. Shawne Merriman, OLB, Chargers* |
| 5. Gary Brackett, ILB, Colts (UFA) |
| 6. Thomas Davis, OLB, Panthers* |
| 7. Barrett Ruud, ILB, Buccaneers* |
| 8. Joey Porter, OLB, Dolphins (UFA) |
| 9. Rocky McIntosh, OLB, Redskins* |
| 10. Kirk Morrison, ILB, Raiders* |
| UFA = will be an unrestricted free agent |
| * = will be restricted without new CBA |
The Chargers’ Shawne Merriman, who led the league in sacks in 2006, is a more intriguing case. Merriman would like to remain in San Diego, but that depends on whether team officials think he can return to the All-Pro level he attained before major knee surgery in ’08. His teammate, defensive end Luis Castillo, says Merriman, who only turns 26 in May, will show more of his old self in 2010.
"He doesn’t get enough credit for the disruptive year he had, especially against the run," Castillo said. "Sacks don’t always come, and when they do they come in bunches. He’ll only continue to get better, faster and stronger the further removed he is from the injury."
Young and restricted
Houston’s DeMeco Ryans and Tampa Bay’s Barrett Ruud, Oakland’s Kirk Morrison are three of the league’s steadiest middle linebackers, and none has been in the league for more than five years. They’re all durable tackling machines and emerging as team leaders.
They’re also in the same boat as Dumervil—restricted free agents unless a new CBA is in place by March 5—and because they mean so much for three teams with young defenses, it’s highly unlikely that any of them can be pried away.
Aging and available
Teams hungry for older help, however, can find it in the AFC South, either in the middle with the Colts’ Gary Brackett or outside with the Titans’ Keith Bulluck.
Brackett, who turns 30 in May, isn’t racking up tackles the way he did a few years ago, but his combination of savvy and quickness is attractive. The Colts will try to keep their only notable free agent, but all teams with aggressive 4-3 schemes should be interested.
As for Bulluck, a strongside stalwart for Tennessee the past decade, he turns 33 in April and is coming off a torn ACL. If able to return to good health, he still would provide good tackling and coverage skills.
"He’s the leader of that defense," said Texans tight end Owen Daniels, who faced Bulluck twice a year as a divisional foe. "He always shows great instincts."
Pass rush in a pinch
With Dumervil and Merriman restricted, sack-hungry teams might turn to older specialists. They should look to Miami, where soon-to-be former Dolphins Joey Porter and Jason Taylor are good one-year considerations that won’t cost nearly as much.
| Free agency at a glance |
| Franchise tag deadline: Feb. 25 |
| Free agency begins: March 5 |
| Unrestricted: A player with six or more years of continuous NFL service |
| Restricted: A player with three years of continuous NFL service |
| CBA: Fourth- and fifth-year players will become "restricted’ free agents unless there is a new collective bargaining agreement in place by March 5 |
Porter and Taylor won’t help much against the run or in coverage, but they were adept pass rushers last season in combining for 16 sacks. At 35, Taylor can be effective when getting about half the defensive snaps.
"(Taylor) can’t expect to get more than 30 to 35 plays out of him," a scout for an NFL team said. "But keeping that in mind, he can still help many teams."
And one more to watch
Adalius Thomas, ILB, Patriots Even though Thomas is no longer a fit with New England’s coaches, don’t expect him to last long on the open market when he’s released. Expect a 3-4 AFC East rival—either Buffalo, Miami or New York—to pick him up quickly.
This is the first in a series of position-by-position analyses of the best players who might be available on the NFL’s open market when free agency opens March 5:
The top prize
The best job description to encompass everything Cardinals inside linebacker Karlos Dansby does on the field is "playmaker." Whether working out of a 3-4 or 4-3 front, he excels at playing the run and covering backs and tight ends. Even though his sack totals have diminished since moving from the outside, he still can disrupt the pocket.
He also makes plays when they count most, leading the defense’s success in Arizona’s drive to Super Bowl 43 and producing the game-winning touchdown in this year’s overtime playoff shootout with Green Bay.
This offseason, the Cardinals, unlike the past two years, will not designate him as their "franchise" player, making Dansby, only 28, a hot commodity at a high price.
NFL scouts say Dansby has the fewest holes of any free agent this year.
A 1-2 3-4 outside punch
Free agency would be a lot more interesting—especially for 3-4 teams looking for a dominant pass rusher (Miami, New England)—if Denver’s Elvis Dumervil, the 2009 NFL leader in sacks with 17, wasn’t restricted as a result of the league’s lack of collective bargaining agreement.
| The top 10 |
| 1. Elvis Dumervil, OLB, Broncos* |
| 2. Karlos Dansby, ILB, Cardinals (UFA) |
| 3. DeMeco Ryans, ILB, Texans* |
| 4. Shawne Merriman, OLB, Chargers* |
| 5. Gary Brackett, ILB, Colts (UFA) |
| 6. Thomas Davis, OLB, Panthers* |
| 7. Barrett Ruud, ILB, Buccaneers* |
| 8. Joey Porter, OLB, Dolphins (UFA) |
| 9. Rocky McIntosh, OLB, Redskins* |
| 10. Kirk Morrison, ILB, Raiders* |
| UFA = will be an unrestricted free agent |
| * = will be restricted without new CBA |
The Chargers’ Shawne Merriman, who led the league in sacks in 2006, is a more intriguing case. Merriman would like to remain in San Diego, but that depends on whether team officials think he can return to the All-Pro level he attained before major knee surgery in ’08. His teammate, defensive end Luis Castillo, says Merriman, who only turns 26 in May, will show more of his old self in 2010.
"He doesn’t get enough credit for the disruptive year he had, especially against the run," Castillo said. "Sacks don’t always come, and when they do they come in bunches. He’ll only continue to get better, faster and stronger the further removed he is from the injury."
Young and restricted
Houston’s DeMeco Ryans and Tampa Bay’s Barrett Ruud, Oakland’s Kirk Morrison are three of the league’s steadiest middle linebackers, and none has been in the league for more than five years. They’re all durable tackling machines and emerging as team leaders.
They’re also in the same boat as Dumervil—restricted free agents unless a new CBA is in place by March 5—and because they mean so much for three teams with young defenses, it’s highly unlikely that any of them can be pried away.
Aging and available
Teams hungry for older help, however, can find it in the AFC South, either in the middle with the Colts’ Gary Brackett or outside with the Titans’ Keith Bulluck.
Brackett, who turns 30 in May, isn’t racking up tackles the way he did a few years ago, but his combination of savvy and quickness is attractive. The Colts will try to keep their only notable free agent, but all teams with aggressive 4-3 schemes should be interested.
As for Bulluck, a strongside stalwart for Tennessee the past decade, he turns 33 in April and is coming off a torn ACL. If able to return to good health, he still would provide good tackling and coverage skills.
"He’s the leader of that defense," said Texans tight end Owen Daniels, who faced Bulluck twice a year as a divisional foe. "He always shows great instincts."
Pass rush in a pinch
With Dumervil and Merriman restricted, sack-hungry teams might turn to older specialists. They should look to Miami, where soon-to-be former Dolphins Joey Porter and Jason Taylor are good one-year considerations that won’t cost nearly as much.
| Free agency at a glance |
| Franchise tag deadline: Feb. 25 |
| Free agency begins: March 5 |
| Unrestricted: A player with six or more years of continuous NFL service |
| Restricted: A player with three years of continuous NFL service |
| CBA: Fourth- and fifth-year players will become "restricted’ free agents unless there is a new collective bargaining agreement in place by March 5 |
Porter and Taylor won’t help much against the run or in coverage, but they were adept pass rushers last season in combining for 16 sacks. At 35, Taylor can be effective when getting about half the defensive snaps.
"(Taylor) can’t expect to get more than 30 to 35 plays out of him," a scout for an NFL team said. "But keeping that in mind, he can still help many teams."
And one more to watch
Adalius Thomas, ILB, Patriots Even though Thomas is no longer a fit with New England’s coaches, don’t expect him to last long on the open market when he’s released. Expect a 3-4 AFC East rival—either Buffalo, Miami or New York—to pick him up quickly.
Following a 2008 season in which he was named to the Pro Bowl, Houston Texans tight end Owen Daniels had a terrific first half of ’09 before blowing out a knee. Daniels, a restricted free agent unless there is a new collective bargaining agreement in place before March 5, hopes the Texabs will build on their first winning season in ’10. He talked to Sporting News’ Vinnie Iyer about Houston’s prolific passing game, his role in the offense and the budding superstar he faces every day in practice.
Owen Daniels on teammate WR Andre Johnson: “He’s the best in the business.”
Vinnie Iyer: What are your impressions of Texans QB Matt Schaub, who led the league in passing this season?
Owen Daniels: He’s gotten better with every year. He’s now very comfortable three years into the system. The first two, he had a hard time staying healthy. He’s pushed himself, put in the hard work to become more durable. He’s great at studying his reads and being prepared with the game plan.
VI: How much does having All-Pro wide receiver Andre Johnson on your side make the job easier for the rest of you?
OD: He’s the best in the business. He draws so much attention on every play. Teams have to double-cover him and provide the help over the top. It leaves me with so many opportunities. Everyone else has a chance to get open, and when we’re that open it’s our job to make plays.
VI: Can you tell us more about the Texans’ other wide receivers: Kevin Walter, David Anderson and Jacoby Jones?
OD: Kevin, you can line up everywhere. He does much of the dirty work for us, blocking out there. David is a guy who just fits well in the slot, our version of Wes Welker. As for Jacoby, his back was kind of against the wall going after his first two seasons because he couldn’t hang on to football, but he’s worked so much on his hands so he could make so many big plays for us last year. He’s making his push to be a No. 2. Hopefully, we all will be back together this season.
VI: Knowing your team got so close to the playoffs, how frustrating was it to watch after you went down with your injury?
OD: It was tough. I was playing well individually, and the team was successful with a 5-3 start. It was hard to watch. I had never been in that situation of missing so many games before. So I just tried to help others, the tight ends working to take my place. When you miss time like that, it makes you appreciate your time on the field so much more. Now the knee is feeling good again, and I will be ready to go when it’s time to play.
VI: Texans owner Bob McNair just showed great confidence in coach Gary Kubiak, extending his contract. Do you think 2010 is when the team finally gets into the postseason?
OD: I sure hope so. I’m so happy Coach Kub and his staff got that extension. As players, we trust him as a leader. We’ve slowly battled to get to six wins, then eight wins, then 9-7. When we win, it’s been a wide margin, yet, we when lose, it’s been close. The teams that get into the playoffs win those close games. Absolutely, I would like to be back playing for coach Kubiak. I like the play-calling—that tight end is a big part of the offense.
VI: When you see what Colts All-Pro tight end Dallas Clark does up close twice a season, how does that affect your game?
OD: You can learn from watching him lining up as everything, such as slot receiver. I’ve learned a lot about running routes just watching guys such as Clark, Tony Gonzalez and Antonio Gates on film.
VI: How good is Texans outside linebacker Brian Cushing?
OD: Right off the bat, once he cut his hair as a rookie, you could see how focused he was. He’s just so big, tough and physically gifted. You could tell in OTAs when you tried to block or run routes against him.
VI: Did you expect to have this kind of success so early in your career as a fourth-round pick?
OD: I don’t know if I expected anything other than making the team, and I was fortunate to start as a rookie. I just work to improve and gain more confidence every year. There might have been a knock on my blocking, but now I think I’m a true every-down tight end.
VI: What do you like to do off the field?
OD: I’m pretty laid back. Because it tends to get really hot in Houston, I love playing golf with my teammates. On TV, I like to watch all those HBO comedies, like Entourage and Flight of the Conchords.
<i>This story appears in Feb. 17’s edition of Sporting News Today. If you are not receiving Sporting News Today, the only daily digital sports newspaper, <a href=http://www.sportingnewstoday.com/>sign up today</a>.</i>
<I>Vinnie Iyer is a staff writer for Sporting News. Email him at <a href=mailto:viyer@sportingnews.com</a>viyer@sportingnews.com.</I>
Following a 2008 season in which he was named to the Pro Bowl, Houston Texans tight end Owen Daniels had a terrific first half of ’09 before blowing out a knee. Daniels, a restricted free agent unless there is a new collective bargaining agreement in place before March 5, hopes the Texabs will build on their first winning season in ’10. He talked to Sporting News’ Vinnie Iyer about Houston’s prolific passing game, his role in the offense and the budding superstar he faces every day in practice.
Owen Daniels on teammate WR Andre Johnson: “He’s the best in the business.”
Vinnie Iyer: What are your impressions of Texans QB Matt Schaub, who led the league in passing this season?
Owen Daniels: He’s gotten better with every year. He’s now very comfortable three years into the system. The first two, he had a hard time staying healthy. He’s pushed himself, put in the hard work to become more durable. He’s great at studying his reads and being prepared with the game plan.
VI: How much does having All-Pro wide receiver Andre Johnson on your side make the job easier for the rest of you?
OD: He’s the best in the business. He draws so much attention on every play. Teams have to double-cover him and provide the help over the top. It leaves me with so many opportunities. Everyone else has a chance to get open, and when we’re that open it’s our job to make plays.
VI: Can you tell us more about the Texans’ other wide receivers: Kevin Walter, David Anderson and Jacoby Jones?
OD: Kevin, you can line up everywhere. He does much of the dirty work for us, blocking out there. David is a guy who just fits well in the slot, our version of Wes Welker. As for Jacoby, his back was kind of against the wall going after his first two seasons because he couldn’t hang on to football, but he’s worked so much on his hands so he could make so many big plays for us last year. He’s making his push to be a No. 2. Hopefully, we all will be back together this season.
VI: Knowing your team got so close to the playoffs, how frustrating was it to watch after you went down with your injury?
OD: It was tough. I was playing well individually, and the team was successful with a 5-3 start. It was hard to watch. I had never been in that situation of missing so many games before. So I just tried to help others, the tight ends working to take my place. When you miss time like that, it makes you appreciate your time on the field so much more. Now the knee is feeling good again, and I will be ready to go when it’s time to play.
VI: Texans owner Bob McNair just showed great confidence in coach Gary Kubiak, extending his contract. Do you think 2010 is when the team finally gets into the postseason?
OD: I sure hope so. I’m so happy Coach Kub and his staff got that extension. As players, we trust him as a leader. We’ve slowly battled to get to six wins, then eight wins, then 9-7. When we win, it’s been a wide margin, yet, we when lose, it’s been close. The teams that get into the playoffs win those close games. Absolutely, I would like to be back playing for coach Kubiak. I like the play-calling—that tight end is a big part of the offense.
VI: When you see what Colts All-Pro tight end Dallas Clark does up close twice a season, how does that affect your game?
OD: You can learn from watching him lining up as everything, such as slot receiver. I’ve learned a lot about running routes just watching guys such as Clark, Tony Gonzalez and Antonio Gates on film.
VI: How good is Texans outside linebacker Brian Cushing?
OD: Right off the bat, once he cut his hair as a rookie, you could see how focused he was. He’s just so big, tough and physically gifted. You could tell in OTAs when you tried to block or run routes against him.
VI: Did you expect to have this kind of success so early in your career as a fourth-round pick?
OD: I don’t know if I expected anything other than making the team, and I was fortunate to start as a rookie. I just work to improve and gain more confidence every year. There might have been a knock on my blocking, but now I think I’m a true every-down tight end.
VI: What do you like to do off the field?
OD: I’m pretty laid back. Because it tends to get really hot in Houston, I love playing golf with my teammates. On TV, I like to watch all those HBO comedies, like Entourage and Flight of the Conchords.
<i>This story appears in Feb. 17’s edition of Sporting News Today. If you are not receiving Sporting News Today, the only daily digital sports newspaper, <a href=http://www.sportingnewstoday.com/>sign up today</a>.</i>
<I>Vinnie Iyer is a staff writer for Sporting News. Email him at <a href=mailto:viyer@sportingnews.com</a>viyer@sportingnews.com.</I>
The New Orleans Saints have given hope and been a source of inspiration to so many in the Big Easy. They rose up when their city needed it most to become Super Bowl champions. They also should serve as a reminder that any NFL franchise is capable of turning itself around, no matter how bleak the situation may seem.
Steven Jackson is a starting point, but the Rams are far from being showstoppers.
When the Saints were 3-13 nomads in 2005 in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina, no one could have expected the kind of success they’ve enjoyed since (two NFC championship game appearances, one Super Bowl title).
The Saints’ rise after bringing in the right people — coach Sean Payton, quarterback Drew Brees — should inspire the league’s bottom-dwellers.
32. St. Louis Rams
It has been 10 years since St. Louis had the "Greatest Show" in the NFL. After what happened in 1999 — the Rams won a championship after going 4-12 in ’98 — the Rams know surprise upswings are possible. But a decade later, the team is mired again among the league’s worst.
One of their superstars in ’99 was running back Marshall Faulk, now an analyst for the NFL Network. Although Faulk is hopeful his former team can find its way again, he knows there is quite a mess to clean up.
"I’m not sure they know their plan and have an idea of what direction they want to go in yet," Faulk said. "It’s just been one year for (general manager) Billy Devaney, and one year for (coach) Steve Spagnoulo."
Success for Kevin Smith’s Lions is more difficult while playing in the NFC North.
The problems are similar to the team’s issues in the early ’90s — a lack of consistency at quarterback and a series of bad drafts that has especially hurt the defense. The team will need to hit on a young franchise QB to get above .500 in the next three years.
31. Buffalo Bills
Since the Music City Miracle befell them, they haven’t sniffed the playoffs. From 2000-09, they had to watch division rival New England win three Super Bowls and, more recently, the Jets and the Dolphins make dramatic improvements.
At quarterback, J.P. Losman hasn’t lived up to his potential and Trent Edwards might not, either. The offensive line must be rebuilt, and injuries and inconsistency have hurt at running back. Bringing in Terrell Owens to spark the passing game didn’t work, either. Now it’s new coach Chan Gailey’s turn.
Considering how well-coached and well-stocked the Patriots, Jets and Dolphins are, the Bills won’t be able to compete with them in the near future.
30. Seattle Seahawks
Former Seahawks league MVP Shaun Alexander told Sporting News at the Super Bowl that he wasn’t surprised at how far his former team had fallen since appearing in the Super Bowl four years ago. The Seahawks were able to win a division title just two seasons ago but have gotten caught between contending and rebuilding.
The team wasn’t able to find a replacement for Alexander, cornerstone left tackle Walter Jones missed the past 20 games and appears done, and the receiving unit must be overhauled. The Seahawks still haven’t drafted a potential successor to Matt Hasselbeck.
Kirk Morrison’s Raiders have traded pride and pose for misery and frustration.
The front office hired Jim Mora to maintain continuity from the Mike Holmgren era, and then abruptly fired Mora after one season. He didn’t even get a chance to put his stamp on the team before being replaced by the glossier option, Pete Carroll.
Carroll was used to reloading talent at Southern Cal, but he must be a lot more patient to get the Seahawks up to snuff.
29. Detroit Lions
Unlike St. Louis, Buffalo and Seattle, Detroit has no Super Bowl history of which to speak. The Lions are the only NFC team that has failed to win a conference championship during the Super Bowl era. If the Lions are to win anytime soon, quarterback Matthew Stafford, running back Kevin Smith and wideout Calvin Johnson must stay healthy.
Like Buffalo, however, Detroit is stuck in a competitive division, where the Vikings, Packers and Bears continue to make splashy moves.
Minnesota and Green Bay have top defenses, and all three are intent on having a strong passing offense. All that makes the Lions’ task that much harder.
28. Oakland Raiders
Their Super Bowl hangover is seven years running, and the Raiders haven’t been able to exceed five wins during that span. In 2009, they had quality wins against the Eagles, Bengals and Steelers, and one wonders why they can’t do more of that.
"It is frustrating for sure," middle linebacker Kirk Morrison said. "It’s one thing to get big wins like that, but then you have to go out there and back it up with another win the next week. We can be much better if we’re just more consistent."
The defense has fine talent, including Morrison, cornerback Nnamdi Asomugha, outside linebacker Thomas Howard and former Patriots end Richard Seymour. If they can just stay healthy and consistent on offense — perhaps with quarterback Bruce Gradkowski and running back Darren McFadden in the most important roles — the Raiders may not be as far away as many think.
The New Orleans Saints have given hope and been a source of inspiration to so many in the Big Easy. They rose up when their city needed it most to become Super Bowl champions. They also should serve as a reminder that any NFL franchise is capable of turning itself around, no matter how bleak the situation may seem.
Steven Jackson is a starting point, but the Rams are far from being showstoppers.
When the Saints were 3-13 nomads in 2005 in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina, no one could have expected the kind of success they’ve enjoyed since (two NFC championship game appearances, one Super Bowl title).
The Saints’ rise after bringing in the right people — coach Sean Payton, quarterback Drew Brees — should inspire the league’s bottom-dwellers.
32. St. Louis Rams
It has been 10 years since St. Louis had the "Greatest Show" in the NFL. After what happened in 1999 — the Rams won a championship after going 4-12 in ’98 — the Rams know surprise upswings are possible. But a decade later, the team is mired again among the league’s worst.
One of their superstars in ’99 was running back Marshall Faulk, now an analyst for the NFL Network. Although Faulk is hopeful his former team can find its way again, he knows there is quite a mess to clean up.
"I’m not sure they know their plan and have an idea of what direction they want to go in yet," Faulk said. "It’s just been one year for (general manager) Billy Devaney, and one year for (coach) Steve Spagnoulo."
Success for Kevin Smith’s Lions is more difficult while playing in the NFC North.
The problems are similar to the team’s issues in the early ’90s — a lack of consistency at quarterback and a series of bad drafts that has especially hurt the defense. The team will need to hit on a young franchise QB to get above .500 in the next three years.
31. Buffalo Bills
Since the Music City Miracle befell them, they haven’t sniffed the playoffs. From 2000-09, they had to watch division rival New England win three Super Bowls and, more recently, the Jets and the Dolphins make dramatic improvements.
At quarterback, J.P. Losman hasn’t lived up to his potential and Trent Edwards might not, either. The offensive line must be rebuilt, and injuries and inconsistency have hurt at running back. Bringing in Terrell Owens to spark the passing game didn’t work, either. Now it’s new coach Chan Gailey’s turn.
Considering how well-coached and well-stocked the Patriots, Jets and Dolphins are, the Bills won’t be able to compete with them in the near future.
30. Seattle Seahawks
Former Seahawks league MVP Shaun Alexander told Sporting News at the Super Bowl that he wasn’t surprised at how far his former team had fallen since appearing in the Super Bowl four years ago. The Seahawks were able to win a division title just two seasons ago but have gotten caught between contending and rebuilding.
The team wasn’t able to find a replacement for Alexander, cornerstone left tackle Walter Jones missed the past 20 games and appears done, and the receiving unit must be overhauled. The Seahawks still haven’t drafted a potential successor to Matt Hasselbeck.
Kirk Morrison’s Raiders have traded pride and pose for misery and frustration.
The front office hired Jim Mora to maintain continuity from the Mike Holmgren era, and then abruptly fired Mora after one season. He didn’t even get a chance to put his stamp on the team before being replaced by the glossier option, Pete Carroll.
Carroll was used to reloading talent at Southern Cal, but he must be a lot more patient to get the Seahawks up to snuff.
29. Detroit Lions
Unlike St. Louis, Buffalo and Seattle, Detroit has no Super Bowl history of which to speak. The Lions are the only NFC team that has failed to win a conference championship during the Super Bowl era. If the Lions are to win anytime soon, quarterback Matthew Stafford, running back Kevin Smith and wideout Calvin Johnson must stay healthy.
Like Buffalo, however, Detroit is stuck in a competitive division, where the Vikings, Packers and Bears continue to make splashy moves.
Minnesota and Green Bay have top defenses, and all three are intent on having a strong passing offense. All that makes the Lions’ task that much harder.
28. Oakland Raiders
Their Super Bowl hangover is seven years running, and the Raiders haven’t been able to exceed five wins during that span. In 2009, they had quality wins against the Eagles, Bengals and Steelers, and one wonders why they can’t do more of that.
"It is frustrating for sure," middle linebacker Kirk Morrison said. "It’s one thing to get big wins like that, but then you have to go out there and back it up with another win the next week. We can be much better if we’re just more consistent."
The defense has fine talent, including Morrison, cornerback Nnamdi Asomugha, outside linebacker Thomas Howard and former Patriots end Richard Seymour. If they can just stay healthy and consistent on offense — perhaps with quarterback Bruce Gradkowski and running back Darren McFadden in the most important roles — the Raiders may not be as far away as many think.
ARLINGTON, Texas — Tony Romo’s first two playoff starts ended with a chance for him to win the game with the ball in his hands. Neither, as it has been well-documented around these parts, worked in Dallas’ favor.
Three years ago in Seattle, it was the infamous botched hold on a late field-goal attempt in what became a 21-20 wild-card loss to the Seahawks. Two years ago, favored at home as the NFC’s top seed against the Giants in the divisional playoffs, a Romo-led last-gasp drive fell short in a 21-17 loss to the eventual Super Bowl champions.
If Tony Romo isn’t meeting his high standards, he has to at least be approaching them with his recent play.
In Romo’s third career postseason start, however, he didn’t need to do anything on the final play — except take a knee — in the Cowboys’ dominant 34-14 wild-card win over division-rival Philadelphia. There weren’t mistakes to overcome or a late deficit to try to erase.
Now his teammates don’t need to hope he comes through for them. Now it’s a matter of making sure they come through for him.
"Tony’s always had a high standard whenever he plays," tight end Jason Witten said. "I think he’s always putting pressure on himself to be the best he can be.
"I don’t think there’s anyone in this locker room who’s evaluated himself in the past couple years like he has. To see him play the way he is, he’s just a leader. As he goes, we go."
Most quarterbacks would have taken Romo’s first half against the Eagles (17-for-27, 203 yards, two touchdowns, no interceptions) as an exceptional output for an entire playoff game. He just picked up where he left off in Week 17, picking apart the Eagles’ pass defense, spreading the ball around to eight receivers while consistently moving the ball for a 27-7 lead at halftime.
"They did a good job of buying time in the pocket for Romo, making sure he had time to convert," Eagles linebacker Will Witherspoon said of the Cowboys’ diverse, efficient offense. "He just makes things happen."
It’s easy to forget that Romo just finished his third full season as Dallas’ starter. In 2006, he immediately raised expectations about his potential, showing dazzling ability as a young passer and skilled athlete.
He was an instant star on the field and became a celebrity off it, but the reality was he still needed time to develop as a complete quarterback and capable team leader.
"He took a lot of heat," Witten said. "I’m so proud for him to experience that — not just the win but the way he’s winning. He’s playing, creating so much and not turning over the football."
For most teams, his rate of steady progress over three years would have been perfectly acceptable. But playing in Dallas, for America’s Team, where the playoff win drought had nearly hit a decade before Romo even threw his first pass for the team, time wasn’t on his side.
So now that Romo has his first career playoff win, the expectations will be there for him to get his second win next weekend even though the Cowboys will be the underdogs.
Romo, who grew up and played high school football in Wisconsin, has his next obstacle at Minnesota — where he will be asked to outduel his boyhood idol, former Packer Brett Favre, in the hostile environment of the Metrodome.
"They present a great challenge," Romo said of the Vikings. "Watching them on tape, they are very good at home — and that’s something we’re going to have to account for."
This story appears in Jan. 10’s edition of Sporting News Today. If you are not receiving Sporting News Today, the only daily digital sports newspaper, sign up today for free.
Vinnie Iyer is a writer for Sporting News. E-mail him at viyer@sportingnews.com.
ARLINGTON, Texas — Tony Romo’s first two playoff starts ended with a chance for him to win the game with the ball in his hands. Neither, as it has been well-documented around these parts, worked in Dallas’ favor.
Three years ago in Seattle, it was the infamous botched hold on a late field-goal attempt in what became a 21-20 wild-card loss to the Seahawks. Two years ago, favored at home as the NFC’s top seed against the Giants in the divisional playoffs, a Romo-led last-gasp drive fell short in a 21-17 loss to the eventual Super Bowl champions.
If Tony Romo isn’t meeting his high standards, he has to at least be approaching them with his recent play.
In Romo’s third career postseason start, however, he didn’t need to do anything on the final play — except take a knee — in the Cowboys’ dominant 34-14 wild-card win over division-rival Philadelphia. There weren’t mistakes to overcome or a late deficit to try to erase.
Now his teammates don’t need to hope he comes through for them. Now it’s a matter of making sure they come through for him.
"Tony’s always had a high standard whenever he plays," tight end Jason Witten said. "I think he’s always putting pressure on himself to be the best he can be.
"I don’t think there’s anyone in this locker room who’s evaluated himself in the past couple years like he has. To see him play the way he is, he’s just a leader. As he goes, we go."
Most quarterbacks would have taken Romo’s first half against the Eagles (17-for-27, 203 yards, two touchdowns, no interceptions) as an exceptional output for an entire playoff game. He just picked up where he left off in Week 17, picking apart the Eagles’ pass defense, spreading the ball around to eight receivers while consistently moving the ball for a 27-7 lead at halftime.
"They did a good job of buying time in the pocket for Romo, making sure he had time to convert," Eagles linebacker Will Witherspoon said of the Cowboys’ diverse, efficient offense. "He just makes things happen."
It’s easy to forget that Romo just finished his third full season as Dallas’ starter. In 2006, he immediately raised expectations about his potential, showing dazzling ability as a young passer and skilled athlete.
He was an instant star on the field and became a celebrity off it, but the reality was he still needed time to develop as a complete quarterback and capable team leader.
"He took a lot of heat," Witten said. "I’m so proud for him to experience that — not just the win but the way he’s winning. He’s playing, creating so much and not turning over the football."
For most teams, his rate of steady progress over three years would have been perfectly acceptable. But playing in Dallas, for America’s Team, where the playoff win drought had nearly hit a decade before Romo even threw his first pass for the team, time wasn’t on his side.
So now that Romo has his first career playoff win, the expectations will be there for him to get his second win next weekend even though the Cowboys will be the underdogs.
Romo, who grew up and played high school football in Wisconsin, has his next obstacle at Minnesota — where he will be asked to outduel his boyhood idol, former Packer Brett Favre, in the hostile environment of the Metrodome.
"They present a great challenge," Romo said of the Vikings. "Watching them on tape, they are very good at home — and that’s something we’re going to have to account for."
This story appears in Jan. 10’s edition of Sporting News Today. If you are not receiving Sporting News Today, the only daily digital sports newspaper, sign up today for free.
Vinnie Iyer is a writer for Sporting News. E-mail him at viyer@sportingnews.com.
ARLINGTON, Texas — While posting convincing wild-card wins on Saturday, the New York Jets and Dallas Cowboys looked like teams that might stick around for a while.
New York must wait to see who wins Sunday’s Ravens-Patriots game before it knows whether it’s going to Indianapolis or San Diego. Dallas can start packing for Minnesota.
The Jets and Cowboys have pluses that could advance them to championship weekend:
Why the Jets can win again: They have two proven assets: the league’s No. 1 rushing offense and No. 1 defense. "They might have a chance to make a move," Bengals quarterback Carson Palmer told reporters after his team’s 24-14 loss. "Their defense is that good."
Why the Jets may stop here: It might be too much to ask for rookie quarterback Mark Sanchez to keep up with Peyton Manning or Philip Rivers.
Why the Cowboys can win again: Their 3-4 front can slow down Adrian Peterson and put plenty of pressure on Brett Favre. Tony Romo can attack Minnesota’s weakness: its pass defense. "Our goals are much bigger than winning the first game," linebacker Keith Brooking said after his team’s 34-14 win over the Eagles. "We have a lot left that we want to accomplish."
Why the Cowboys may stop here: If they can’t get the power running game going against Minnesota’s stout front and get off to a slow start, it will be hard to overcome the Vikings’ feeding off the home-crowd energy.
This story appears in Jan. 10’s edition of Sporting News Today. If you are not receiving Sporting News Today, the only daily digital sports newspaper, sign up today for free.
Vinnie Iyer is a writer for Sporting News. E-mail him at viyer@sportingnews.com.
ARLINGTON, Texas — While posting convincing wild-card wins on Saturday, the New York Jets and Dallas Cowboys looked like teams that might stick around for a while.
New York must wait to see who wins Sunday’s Ravens-Patriots game before it knows whether it’s going to Indianapolis or San Diego. Dallas can start packing for Minnesota.
The Jets and Cowboys have pluses that could advance them to championship weekend:
Why the Jets can win again: They have two proven assets: the league’s No. 1 rushing offense and No. 1 defense. "They might have a chance to make a move," Bengals quarterback Carson Palmer told reporters after his team’s 24-14 loss. "Their defense is that good."
Why the Jets may stop here: It might be too much to ask for rookie quarterback Mark Sanchez to keep up with Peyton Manning or Philip Rivers.
Why the Cowboys can win again: Their 3-4 front can slow down Adrian Peterson and put plenty of pressure on Brett Favre. Tony Romo can attack Minnesota’s weakness: its pass defense. "Our goals are much bigger than winning the first game," linebacker Keith Brooking said after his team’s 34-14 win over the Eagles. "We have a lot left that we want to accomplish."
Why the Cowboys may stop here: If they can’t get the power running game going against Minnesota’s stout front and get off to a slow start, it will be hard to overcome the Vikings’ feeding off the home-crowd energy.
This story appears in Jan. 10’s edition of Sporting News Today. If you are not receiving Sporting News Today, the only daily digital sports newspaper, sign up today for free.
Vinnie Iyer is a writer for Sporting News. E-mail him at viyer@sportingnews.com.
IRVING, Texas — It’s rare when a wild-card playoff game is a rematch of a Week 17 meeting. The NFC has defied even the greatest of odds to have two such contests this weekend.
Although the Dallas Cowboys would be happy if most recent history repeated itself, the Philadelphia Eagles hope their embarrassing 24-0 loss at Cowboys Stadium last Sunday quickly becomes a distant memory.
Cowboys defenders must locate Brent Celek and beware of potential mismatches.
You can bet the Eagles will be well-prepared and a much better team. That’s assuming they fix some of the things that went wrong in the regular-season finale. Not to be outdone, the Cowboys know they need to be ready to counteradjust.
1. Brent Celek is a tough matchup
The Eagles’ passing game is so diverse and loaded with skill players that it’s hard to shut it down. Though Dallas’ defense excelled at taking away the big play downfield last week, it left tight end Celek in good position to gain chunks of yardage on intermediate routes. He finished with seven catches for 96 yards.
Because of Celek’s athleticism, the Eagles can move him around and get him open against a defender who’s either smaller or slower.
"He’s made some big plays all year," Cowboys linebacker Bobby Carpenter said. "They had some wrinkles for us last game, and they probably will have more wrinkles this week."
After a slow start, Anthony Spencer is spending time looking down at QBs.
The key for Dallas is having a handle on how the Eagles have used Celek all season. But at the same time, they don’t want to focus on him to the point where it opens up deeper routes for DeSean Jackson.
2. Anthony Spencer is on a tear
Spencer, a Cowboys outside linebacker, led the charge against Philadelphia’s front five, which was trying to adjust to life without injured center Jamaal Jackson. To make matters worse, Pro Bowl left tackle Jason Peters didn’t have his "A" game.
Dallas grew more confident in using Spencer on passing downs, and he responded big-time down the stretch, with six sacks in the past six games after having none in the first 10.
"He’s a dominant player now, and it comes with reps," Cowboys defensive end Marcus Spears said. "We knew what he could possibly do when he got a shot."
For the Eagles, the trick is slowing down Spencer without using double-teams, which would prove costly on the opposite edge against DeMarcus Ware.
3. The Cowboys can pound it
Entering last week’s game, the Eagles were allowing fewer than 100 rushing yards per game. But then the Cowboys put up 179 and Philadelphia answered with 37.
Look for Jeremiah Trotter to focus on stopping the Cowboys’ ground game.
Despite a lapse in which Felix Jones scored on a 49-yard touchdown run, the Eagles did a better job of stopping the run in the second half. They forced the Cowboys to throw to move the chains and control the clock.
Considering how middle linebacker Jeremiah Trotter was a key part of that second-half effort, he could see a lot more playing time.
"We all noticed a difference when he was in the game the other night," defensive coordinator Sean McDermott said. "He plays with great intensity."
4. The Cowboys have done a number on Jackson
It takes a good scheme and sound play all around to prevent Jackson from unleashing a big play. The Cowboys, who held Jackson to five catches for 76 yards in their two wins over Philadelphia, have benefited from a consistent pass rush that limits deep routes from developing. Still, much credit goes to cornerbacks Terence Newman and Mike Jenkins.
"We have some shutdown corners, and they’re doing a good job of not getting beat deep," Cowboys safety Gerald Sensabaugh said.
Dallas’ scheme has helped prevent deep passes, but Newman and Jenkins have been winning one-on-one battles with their quickness and coverage skills. If the Eagles can’t win downfield, they won’t win the game.
This story appears in Jan. 9’s edition of Sporting News Today. If you are not receiving Sporting News Today, the only daily digital sports newspaper, sign up today.
IRVING, Texas — It’s rare when a wild-card playoff game is a rematch of a Week 17 meeting. The NFC has defied even the greatest of odds to have two such contests this weekend.
Although the Dallas Cowboys would be happy if most recent history repeated itself, the Philadelphia Eagles hope their embarrassing 24-0 loss at Cowboys Stadium last Sunday quickly becomes a distant memory.
Cowboys defenders must locate Brent Celek and beware of potential mismatches.
You can bet the Eagles will be well-prepared and a much better team. That’s assuming they fix some of the things that went wrong in the regular-season finale. Not to be outdone, the Cowboys know they need to be ready to counteradjust.
1. Brent Celek is a tough matchup
The Eagles’ passing game is so diverse and loaded with skill players that it’s hard to shut it down. Though Dallas’ defense excelled at taking away the big play downfield last week, it left tight end Celek in good position to gain chunks of yardage on intermediate routes. He finished with seven catches for 96 yards.
Because of Celek’s athleticism, the Eagles can move him around and get him open against a defender who’s either smaller or slower.
"He’s made some big plays all year," Cowboys linebacker Bobby Carpenter said. "They had some wrinkles for us last game, and they probably will have more wrinkles this week."
After a slow start, Anthony Spencer is spending time looking down at QBs.
The key for Dallas is having a handle on how the Eagles have used Celek all season. But at the same time, they don’t want to focus on him to the point where it opens up deeper routes for DeSean Jackson.
2. Anthony Spencer is on a tear
Spencer, a Cowboys outside linebacker, led the charge against Philadelphia’s front five, which was trying to adjust to life without injured center Jamaal Jackson. To make matters worse, Pro Bowl left tackle Jason Peters didn’t have his "A" game.
Dallas grew more confident in using Spencer on passing downs, and he responded big-time down the stretch, with six sacks in the past six games after having none in the first 10.
"He’s a dominant player now, and it comes with reps," Cowboys defensive end Marcus Spears said. "We knew what he could possibly do when he got a shot."
For the Eagles, the trick is slowing down Spencer without using double-teams, which would prove costly on the opposite edge against DeMarcus Ware.
3. The Cowboys can pound it
Entering last week’s game, the Eagles were allowing fewer than 100 rushing yards per game. But then the Cowboys put up 179 and Philadelphia answered with 37.
Look for Jeremiah Trotter to focus on stopping the Cowboys’ ground game.
Despite a lapse in which Felix Jones scored on a 49-yard touchdown run, the Eagles did a better job of stopping the run in the second half. They forced the Cowboys to throw to move the chains and control the clock.
Considering how middle linebacker Jeremiah Trotter was a key part of that second-half effort, he could see a lot more playing time.
"We all noticed a difference when he was in the game the other night," defensive coordinator Sean McDermott said. "He plays with great intensity."
4. The Cowboys have done a number on Jackson
It takes a good scheme and sound play all around to prevent Jackson from unleashing a big play. The Cowboys, who held Jackson to five catches for 76 yards in their two wins over Philadelphia, have benefited from a consistent pass rush that limits deep routes from developing. Still, much credit goes to cornerbacks Terence Newman and Mike Jenkins.
"We have some shutdown corners, and they’re doing a good job of not getting beat deep," Cowboys safety Gerald Sensabaugh said.
Dallas’ scheme has helped prevent deep passes, but Newman and Jenkins have been winning one-on-one battles with their quickness and coverage skills. If the Eagles can’t win downfield, they won’t win the game.
This story appears in Jan. 9’s edition of Sporting News Today. If you are not receiving Sporting News Today, the only daily digital sports newspaper, sign up today.
IRVING, Texas — The Eagles have one more chance to solve the Cowboys’ riddle on Saturday night, or their season, which began with Super Bowl expectations, will end well short.
Expect more involvement from rookie LeSean McCoy.
Considering the Eagles were shut out, 24-0, at Cowboys Stadium last week, they must do plenty of things better to have a chance to win Saturday night. Many of them are simple, fundamental football tasks, but none will come easy against the fast and physical Cowboys.
1. Stop the run. The fact Dallas running backs Marion Barber and Felix Jones were both effective last week in the power rushing attack (91 yards each) threw off Philadelphia’s defensive plans.
"By them running the ball well, it basically killed us," Eagles safety Quintin Mikell said.
The Cowboys passed effectively off the success of the run and kept the aggressive Eagles off-balance, leading to big holes for Barber and Jones. On Saturday night, Philadelphia will work on getting defenders in better position to fill those lanes before Barber or Jones can run into the secondary.
"We need to get a lot more guys around the ball," Mikell said. "We have to tackle better and we have to get off of blocks better."
To that end, don’t be surprised to see some lineup changes, such as giving more reps to veteran run-stopping middle linebacker Jeremiah Trotter on early downs.
2. Get out to a fast start. The Eagles didn’t quite get started Sunday. Looking at their talent and typical offensive prowess, getting a quick score this week would give the team confidence and much-needed momentum.
"Everybody says start fast, finish strong," Eagles running back Brian Westbrook said. "But there are going to be ebbs and flows to every game. Even if you start fast, you have to try to continue that throughout the whole game."
For all their big-play ability, the Eagles are at their best when Donovan McNabb gets into an early rhythm to where he’s consistently connecting with all receivers, methodically moving the ball downfield. When the base offense is working well, it opens up more opportunities to hit big plays.
3. Run the ball more. Most teams tend to abandon the run when staring at a 17-0 halftime deficit, and pass-first Andy Reid tends to fade it out in some games no matter the score.
The game’s outcome shouldn’t completely rest on McNabb’s arm, and the running game doesn’t have to be all about Westbrook, either. Expect speedy rookie backup LeSean McCoy and Pro Bowl fullback Leonard Weaver — both performed well when Westbrook was sidelined by concussions — to be more involved.
Offensive coordinator Marty Mornhinweg said the Eagles wanted to run more last week, but the early deficit limited their options.
"We had a plan last week, and we tried to get back into the game," Mornhinweg said. "So we didn’t really get to that plan for the three backs that we have that carry the football."
There’s also the added dimension of Michael Vick, who didn’t play last week but is healthy enough to contribute Saturday night. Even if the Cowboys are prepared for the "Wildcat" offense, a fresh and versatile Vick still poses a challenge.
4. Get a spark from special teams. From kickoff specialist David Buehler’s touchback boots to solid punt coverage that gave the Eagles’ DeSean Jackson little room to operate on his returns, the Cowboys easily won the battle for field position last week.
A big return would allow the Eagles’ offense to operate with a short field, which could make the difference in what figures to be a much closer game.
Vinnie Iyer is a writer for Sporting News. E-mail him at viyer@sportingnews.com.
IRVING, Texas — The Eagles have one more chance to solve the Cowboys’ riddle on Saturday night, or their season, which began with Super Bowl expectations, will end well short.
Expect more involvement from rookie LeSean McCoy.
Considering the Eagles were shut out, 24-0, at Cowboys Stadium last week, they must do plenty of things better to have a chance to win Saturday night. Many of them are simple, fundamental football tasks, but none will come easy against the fast and physical Cowboys.
1. Stop the run. The fact Dallas running backs Marion Barber and Felix Jones were both effective last week in the power rushing attack (91 yards each) threw off Philadelphia’s defensive plans.
"By them running the ball well, it basically killed us," Eagles safety Quintin Mikell said.
The Cowboys passed effectively off the success of the run and kept the aggressive Eagles off-balance, leading to big holes for Barber and Jones. On Saturday night, Philadelphia will work on getting defenders in better position to fill those lanes before Barber or Jones can run into the secondary.
"We need to get a lot more guys around the ball," Mikell said. "We have to tackle better and we have to get off of blocks better."
To that end, don’t be surprised to see some lineup changes, such as giving more reps to veteran run-stopping middle linebacker Jeremiah Trotter on early downs.
2. Get out to a fast start. The Eagles didn’t quite get started Sunday. Looking at their talent and typical offensive prowess, getting a quick score this week would give the team confidence and much-needed momentum.
"Everybody says start fast, finish strong," Eagles running back Brian Westbrook said. "But there are going to be ebbs and flows to every game. Even if you start fast, you have to try to continue that throughout the whole game."
For all their big-play ability, the Eagles are at their best when Donovan McNabb gets into an early rhythm to where he’s consistently connecting with all receivers, methodically moving the ball downfield. When the base offense is working well, it opens up more opportunities to hit big plays.
3. Run the ball more. Most teams tend to abandon the run when staring at a 17-0 halftime deficit, and pass-first Andy Reid tends to fade it out in some games no matter the score.
The game’s outcome shouldn’t completely rest on McNabb’s arm, and the running game doesn’t have to be all about Westbrook, either. Expect speedy rookie backup LeSean McCoy and Pro Bowl fullback Leonard Weaver — both performed well when Westbrook was sidelined by concussions — to be more involved.
Offensive coordinator Marty Mornhinweg said the Eagles wanted to run more last week, but the early deficit limited their options.
"We had a plan last week, and we tried to get back into the game," Mornhinweg said. "So we didn’t really get to that plan for the three backs that we have that carry the football."
There’s also the added dimension of Michael Vick, who didn’t play last week but is healthy enough to contribute Saturday night. Even if the Cowboys are prepared for the "Wildcat" offense, a fresh and versatile Vick still poses a challenge.
4. Get a spark from special teams. From kickoff specialist David Buehler’s touchback boots to solid punt coverage that gave the Eagles’ DeSean Jackson little room to operate on his returns, the Cowboys easily won the battle for field position last week.
A big return would allow the Eagles’ offense to operate with a short field, which could make the difference in what figures to be a much closer game.
Vinnie Iyer is a writer for Sporting News. E-mail him at viyer@sportingnews.com.
The opening week of the NFL playoffs looks eerily familiar.
In the NFC, it’s an almost exact copy of what we just saw in Week 17 — same bat hosts, same bat visitors, same bat stadiums, only with one different bat channel and two different bat times.
In the AFC, the Jets return the home-and-home favor with a trip to Cincinnati, and the Ravens and Patriots meet again in New England 14 weeks after playing there on Oct. 4.
Jason Witten and the Cowboys will try to push the Eagles out of the playoffs.
This time around, however, there will be no holding back, mentally or physically. There’s no cushion for some teams of playing at least one more game this season. That should lead to some very aggressive play in every game.
NFC Game of the Week
Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys. The Cowboys are going for a three-game sweep of their division rivals in hopes of getting their first playoff victory in 13 seasons. It also would be Tony Romo’s first postseason win in three attempts. Looking at recent history and thinking that they can’t pull it off against the Eagles for a second consecutive week and the third time since Week 9 would be a mistake, because, well, the past is in the past.
Romo is a better quarterback than he’s ever been in his fourth season as an NFL starter. The defense has never been this good since the switch to a 3-4 under Bill Parcells. The combination of chemistry and confidence hasn’t been there like this in quite some time. There are unreasonable expectations that often come with being America’s Team, and taking in the mood of the locker room and realizing all the talent it has, you get a sense the Cowboys are ready to do something special.
On the field, the Cowboys have proved to be the better team than Philadelphia twice. They have the power running game to wear down the Eagles’ pass rush and limit the blitzing. They have receivers such as Miles Austin and Jason Witten who can get open for big plays. Romo is playing at such a high level, he’s reading everything well when under pressure.
Defensively, there have been two major developments. First, the secondary has turned into a solid unit, thanks to Mike Jenkins starring opposite Terence Newman. The linebackers have seen an upgrade, with Keith Brooking a perfect fit inside and Anthony Spencer emerging as a pass-rush threat opposite DeMarcus Ware. The Eagles being such a pass-heavy team plays right into the Cowboys’ hands.
For some reason, Dallas couldn’t beat the Giants this season, but they’re not around any more. They match up much better against the Eagles, and that will show again on Saturday night. Cowboys 27, Eagles 24.
Thomas Jones and the Jets have their eyes on the beating the Bengals again.
AFC Game of the Week
New York Jets at Cincinnati Bengals. In a playoff field loaded with top-flight quarterbacks, you can make the case that the Jets and Bengals are the two weakest at the position, despite the USC pedigrees of Mark Sanchez and Carson Palmer. It’s no secret that both teams have gotten to the playoffs on the strengths of stout defenses backed by grinding running games. Stuff the run, rush the passer and chew up clock with long, efficient scoring drives.
It’s funny that the two backs involved with those game plans are former Bears — Thomas Jones and Cedric Benson. It must be something about a black-and-blue brand of football. Of course, the Jets have another tie to the Chicago way, with Rex Ryan coaching up an attacking 3-4 defense reminiscent of his father Buddy’s best units. This should be an ugly, low-scoring game, and that will suit the younger Ryan and his Bengals counterpart, Marvin Lewis, just fine.
The difference here will be Jets cornerback Darrelle Revis and New York’s offensive line. Revis will shut down Chad Ochocinco, making it very difficult for Cincinnati to move the ball in a one-dimensional rushing offense. On the other side, the loss of rookie linebacker Rey Maualuga is huge, because it will allow Jets run blockers to pave an easier way for Jones and Shonn Greene. Jets 19, Bengals 13
Shootout of the Week
Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots. Remember Mark Clayton’s drop on the Ravens’ final drive against the Pats in Week 4? Had he caught that ball, there’s a good chance the Ravens would have emerged winners from what was a 27-21 loss at Foxborough.
You know in the rematch that Baltimore will be adept at shutting down the Patriots’ mix of backs in the running game. In turn the Patriots will work to take away what the Ravens do best — move the ball with feature back Ray Rice.
That should make Joe Flacco and Tom Brady confident to take to the air, where neither will be daunted by the other’s team pass rush or secondary. Without having to worry about pesky Wes Welker, however, look for the Ravens to bracket their coverage on Randy Moss so they aren’t beat deep, making Brady dink and dunk more, increasing the chance of a turnover.
As for Flacco, working with offensive coordinator Cam Cameron, the Ravens will spread out the Patriots’ defense with the pass, and then come back to the run with Rice and Willis McGahee to steal a victory later. Ravens 30, Patriots 27
When he is not handing off to Ryan Grant, Aaron Rodgers will be on the move.
Upset of the Week
Green Bay Packers over Arizona Cardinals. We’ve already picked the Jets and Ravens as underdogs, so going with the Packers is pure gravy. The Packers just throttled the resting Cards in Glendale last week, and they won’t let up with more on the line.
Green Bay’s 3-4 is capable of keeping Beanie Wells and Arizona’s ground game in check, which will put the Packers in a good situation against the pass. Clay Matthews will lead the charge to put pressure on Kurt Warner, and as usual, cornerback Charles Woodson will come up with a big play or two.
Offensively, the Packers will keep Arizona off-balance with a balanced attack and Aaron Rodgers’ mobility helping them make some big plays. They’ll mix in Ryan Grant effectively to keep the Cardinals’ aggressive front honest, and they’ll score the decisive touchdown late. Packers 24, Cardinals 20
Stats of the Week
Week 17 record: 14-2
Regular-season record: 165-75.
Vinnie Iyer is a writer for Sporting News. E-mail him at viyer@sportingnews.com.
The opening week of the NFL playoffs looks eerily familiar.
In the NFC, it’s an almost exact copy of what we just saw in Week 17 — same bat hosts, same bat visitors, same bat stadiums, only with one different bat channel and two different bat times.
In the AFC, the Jets return the home-and-home favor with a trip to Cincinnati, and the Ravens and Patriots meet again in New England 14 weeks after playing there on Oct. 4.
Jason Witten and the Cowboys will try to push the Eagles out of the playoffs.
This time around, however, there will be no holding back, mentally or physically. There’s no cushion for some teams of playing at least one more game this season. That should lead to some very aggressive play in every game.
NFC Game of the Week
Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys. The Cowboys are going for a three-game sweep of their division rivals in hopes of getting their first playoff victory in 13 seasons. It also would be Tony Romo’s first postseason win in three attempts. Looking at recent history and thinking that they can’t pull it off against the Eagles for a second consecutive week and the third time since Week 9 would be a mistake, because, well, the past is in the past.
Romo is a better quarterback than he’s ever been in his fourth season as an NFL starter. The defense has never been this good since the switch to a 3-4 under Bill Parcells. The combination of chemistry and confidence hasn’t been there like this in quite some time. There are unreasonable expectations that often come with being America’s Team, and taking in the mood of the locker room and realizing all the talent it has, you get a sense the Cowboys are ready to do something special.
On the field, the Cowboys have proved to be the better team than Philadelphia twice. They have the power running game to wear down the Eagles’ pass rush and limit the blitzing. They have receivers such as Miles Austin and Jason Witten who can get open for big plays. Romo is playing at such a high level, he’s reading everything well when under pressure.
Defensively, there have been two major developments. First, the secondary has turned into a solid unit, thanks to Mike Jenkins starring opposite Terence Newman. The linebackers have seen an upgrade, with Keith Brooking a perfect fit inside and Anthony Spencer emerging as a pass-rush threat opposite DeMarcus Ware. The Eagles being such a pass-heavy team plays right into the Cowboys’ hands.
For some reason, Dallas couldn’t beat the Giants this season, but they’re not around any more. They match up much better against the Eagles, and that will show again on Saturday night. Cowboys 27, Eagles 24.
Thomas Jones and the Jets have their eyes on the beating the Bengals again.
AFC Game of the Week
New York Jets at Cincinnati Bengals. In a playoff field loaded with top-flight quarterbacks, you can make the case that the Jets and Bengals are the two weakest at the position, despite the USC pedigrees of Mark Sanchez and Carson Palmer. It’s no secret that both teams have gotten to the playoffs on the strengths of stout defenses backed by grinding running games. Stuff the run, rush the passer and chew up clock with long, efficient scoring drives.
It’s funny that the two backs involved with those game plans are former Bears — Thomas Jones and Cedric Benson. It must be something about a black-and-blue brand of football. Of course, the Jets have another tie to the Chicago way, with Rex Ryan coaching up an attacking 3-4 defense reminiscent of his father Buddy’s best units. This should be an ugly, low-scoring game, and that will suit the younger Ryan and his Bengals counterpart, Marvin Lewis, just fine.
The difference here will be Jets cornerback Darrelle Revis and New York’s offensive line. Revis will shut down Chad Ochocinco, making it very difficult for Cincinnati to move the ball in a one-dimensional rushing offense. On the other side, the loss of rookie linebacker Rey Maualuga is huge, because it will allow Jets run blockers to pave an easier way for Jones and Shonn Greene. Jets 19, Bengals 13
Shootout of the Week
Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots. Remember Mark Clayton’s drop on the Ravens’ final drive against the Pats in Week 4? Had he caught that ball, there’s a good chance the Ravens would have emerged winners from what was a 27-21 loss at Foxborough.
You know in the rematch that Baltimore will be adept at shutting down the Patriots’ mix of backs in the running game. In turn the Patriots will work to take away what the Ravens do best — move the ball with feature back Ray Rice.
That should make Joe Flacco and Tom Brady confident to take to the air, where neither will be daunted by the other’s team pass rush or secondary. Without having to worry about pesky Wes Welker, however, look for the Ravens to bracket their coverage on Randy Moss so they aren’t beat deep, making Brady dink and dunk more, increasing the chance of a turnover.
As for Flacco, working with offensive coordinator Cam Cameron, the Ravens will spread out the Patriots’ defense with the pass, and then come back to the run with Rice and Willis McGahee to steal a victory later. Ravens 30, Patriots 27
When he is not handing off to Ryan Grant, Aaron Rodgers will be on the move.
Upset of the Week
Green Bay Packers over Arizona Cardinals. We’ve already picked the Jets and Ravens as underdogs, so going with the Packers is pure gravy. The Packers just throttled the resting Cards in Glendale last week, and they won’t let up with more on the line.
Green Bay’s 3-4 is capable of keeping Beanie Wells and Arizona’s ground game in check, which will put the Packers in a good situation against the pass. Clay Matthews will lead the charge to put pressure on Kurt Warner, and as usual, cornerback Charles Woodson will come up with a big play or two.
Offensively, the Packers will keep Arizona off-balance with a balanced attack and Aaron Rodgers’ mobility helping them make some big plays. They’ll mix in Ryan Grant effectively to keep the Cardinals’ aggressive front honest, and they’ll score the decisive touchdown late. Packers 24, Cardinals 20
Stats of the Week
Week 17 record: 14-2
Regular-season record: 165-75.
Vinnie Iyer is a writer for Sporting News. E-mail him at viyer@sportingnews.com.
